L’École des cotes

Katie Volynets v Jelena Ostapenko

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 21:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Katie Volynets (Local)

Prévision 37.70%2.65cote équitable
EV +47.42%
Avantage +12.13%
Kelly +16.30%
Croissance +7.73%

avec la cote maximale 3.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.81%36.57%37.78%40.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.552.483.9143.48%39.21%40.32%25.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jelena Ostapenko (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.30%1.61cote équitable
EV -0.326%
Avantage -0.204%
Kelly -0.544%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.74%63.43%62.22%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.501.521.6077.52%66.75%65.57%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.91I 25.58%NM 24.81%EV +47.42%E +12.13%K +16.30%G +7.73%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.19%EV -19.64%E -15.22%K -67.72%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 20:50
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +24.42%E +7.40%K +10.62%G +2.59%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -17.15%E -12.89%K -51.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:54
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +16.88%E +5.45%K +8.04%G +1.36%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -15.90%E -11.78%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 20:54
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +13.11%E +4.37%K +6.56%G +0.860%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -12.79%E -9.13%K -31.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 20:52
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +13.11%E +4.37%K +6.56%G +0.860%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -12.79%E -9.13%K -31.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 20:53
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +13.11%E +4.37%K +6.56%G +0.860%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -12.79%E -9.13%K -31.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 20:53
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV +8.59%E +2.98%K +4.57%G +0.392%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -15.28%E -11.23%K -42.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 20:54
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.69%E +1.34%K +2.11%G +0.078%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:54
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -0.084%E -0.032%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -12.16%E -8.63%K -29.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 20:54
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -1.22%E -0.464%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.29%E -7.15%K -23.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 20:54
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.97%E -0.757%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 20:54
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.97%E -0.757%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.42%E -5.73%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 20:54
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -1.97%E -0.757%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -9.05%E -6.20%K -19.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 20:54
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -1.97%E -0.757%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -10.29%E -7.15%K -23.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 20:54
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 20:54
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 20:54
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.61%E -1.82%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 20:40
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.61%E -1.82%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 20:40
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 20:35
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 20:54
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 20:54
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 20:54
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 20:40
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 20:42
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 20:41
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -6.12%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:39
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:55
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:54
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:55
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:54
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:54
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 20:36
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 20:31
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 20:54
GTbets2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -8.00%E -3.28%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 20:40
DraftKings2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -8.00%E -3.28%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 20:54
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 20:54
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 20:54
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 20:55
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.57%E -0.995%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 20:55
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 20:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 20:40
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 20:36
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 20:37
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 20:55
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 20:39
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 20:55
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 20:54
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -0.326%E -0.204%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 20:35
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 20:54
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.50%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.50%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 20:54
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.20%E -1.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 20:36
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 20:36
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 20:36
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 20:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-03-07 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-03-07 20:54
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%0.7%2026-03-07 20:54
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.5%2026-03-07 20:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 32.57%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%3.7%2026-03-07 20:55
Novig2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%6.6%2026-03-07 20:55