La escuela de los momios

Katie Volynets v Jelena Ostapenko

Inicio: 2026-03-07 21:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Katie Volynets (Local)

Predicción 37.70%2.65momio equitativo
EV +47.42%
Ventaja +12.13%
Kelly +16.30%
Crecimiento +7.73%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.81%36.57%37.78%40.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.552.483.9143.48%39.21%40.32%25.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jelena Ostapenko (Visitante)

Predicción 62.30%1.61momio equitativo
EV -0.326%
Ventaja -0.204%
Kelly -0.544%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.74%63.43%62.22%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.501.521.6077.52%66.75%65.57%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.91I 25.58%NM 24.81%EV +47.42%E +12.13%K +16.30%G +7.73%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.19%EV -19.64%E -15.22%K -67.72%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 20:50
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +24.42%E +7.40%K +10.62%G +2.59%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -17.15%E -12.89%K -51.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:54
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +16.88%E +5.45%K +8.04%G +1.36%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -15.90%E -11.78%K -45.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 20:54
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +13.11%E +4.37%K +6.56%G +0.860%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -12.79%E -9.13%K -31.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 20:52
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +13.11%E +4.37%K +6.56%G +0.860%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -12.79%E -9.13%K -31.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 20:53
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +13.11%E +4.37%K +6.56%G +0.860%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -12.79%E -9.13%K -31.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 20:53
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV +8.59%E +2.98%K +4.57%G +0.392%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -15.28%E -11.23%K -42.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 20:54
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.69%E +1.34%K +2.11%G +0.078%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:54
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -0.084%E -0.032%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -12.16%E -8.63%K -29.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 20:54
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -1.22%E -0.464%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.29%E -7.15%K -23.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 20:54
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.97%E -0.757%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 20:54
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.97%E -0.757%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.42%E -5.73%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 20:54
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -1.97%E -0.757%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -9.05%E -6.20%K -19.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 20:54
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -1.97%E -0.757%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -10.29%E -7.15%K -23.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 20:54
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 20:54
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 20:54
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.61%E -1.82%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 20:40
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -4.61%E -1.82%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 20:40
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 20:35
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 20:54
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 20:54
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 20:54
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 20:40
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 20:42
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 20:41
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -6.12%E -2.46%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:39
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:55
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:54
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:55
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:54
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.49%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:54
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 20:36
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 20:31
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 20:54
GTbets2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -8.00%E -3.28%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 20:40
DraftKings2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -8.00%E -3.28%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -4.06%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 20:54
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 20:54
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 20:54
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 20:55
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.57%E -0.995%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 20:55
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 20:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 20:40
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 20:36
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 20:37
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 20:55
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 20:39
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 20:55
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 20:54
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -0.326%E -0.204%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 20:35
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 20:54
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.50%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.50%EV -7.18%E -4.82%K -14.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 20:54
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.20%E -1.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 20:36
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 20:36
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 20:36
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 20:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-03-07 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-03-07 20:54
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%0.7%2026-03-07 20:54
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.5%2026-03-07 20:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 32.57%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%3.7%2026-03-07 20:55
Novig2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%6.6%2026-03-07 20:55