Language:English
Katerina Siniakova v Sofia Kenin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Katerina Siniakova (Local)
Prediction 64.35%1.55fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -6.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.81%64.73%64.32%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.471.481.5075.19%68.16%67.57%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sofia Kenin (Visit)
Prediction 35.65%2.81fair odd
EV +21.20%
Edge +6.23%
Kelly +8.83%
Growth +1.87%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%35.27%35.68%37.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.653.4040.00%37.31%37.74%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katerina Siniakova (Local): 64.35%; Sofia Kenin (Visit): 35.65%. For Sofia Kenin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -14.41%E -10.83%K -43.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +21.20%E +6.23%K +8.83%G +1.87% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -14.41%E -10.83%K -43.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +21.20%E +6.23%K +8.83%G +1.87% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.192%E -0.069%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -1.26%E -0.455%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.97%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 00:28 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.69%E -4.61%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.97%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.97%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.97%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.97%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.97%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.04%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.04%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.04%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.69%E -4.61%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 00:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.90%E -7.07%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -4.83%E -1.81%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -7.97%E -5.58%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV -4.83%E -1.81%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -5.18%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:26 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:22 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.69%E -4.61%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.61%E -2.52%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -6.96%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 00:28 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -8.03%E -3.11%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.10%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.10%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88% | 2.4% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45% | 2.6% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |