Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Katerina Siniakova v Sofia Kenin

Inicio: 2026-03-06 00:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Katerina Siniakova (Local)

Predicción 64.35%1.55momio equitativo
EV -3.47%
Ventaja -2.31%
Kelly -6.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.81%64.73%64.32%71.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.471.481.5075.19%68.16%67.57%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sofia Kenin (Visitante)

Predicción 35.65%2.81momio equitativo
EV +21.20%
Ventaja +6.23%
Kelly +8.83%
Crecimiento +1.87%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%35.27%35.68%37.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.682.653.4040.00%37.31%37.74%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Katerina Siniakova (Local): 64.35%; Sofia Kenin (Visitante): 35.65%. Para Sofia Kenin (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.81. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +21.20%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -14.41%E -10.83%K -43.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +21.20%E +6.23%K +8.83%G +1.87%4.6%2026-03-06 00:20
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -14.41%E -10.83%K -43.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +21.20%E +6.23%K +8.83%G +1.87%4.6%2026-03-06 00:29
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.192%E -0.069%K -0.107%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 00:30
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -1.26%E -0.455%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 00:29
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.97%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 00:28
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.69%E -4.61%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.97%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.97%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 00:29
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.97%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 00:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.97%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 00:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.97%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 00:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.04%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 00:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.04%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 00:30
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.04%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 00:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 00:30
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.69%E -4.61%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 00:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 00:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.90%E -7.07%K -24.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 00:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -4.83%E -1.81%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 00:30
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -7.97%E -5.58%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV -4.83%E -1.81%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 00:30
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -5.18%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 00:30
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 00:29
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 00:30
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:29
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:26
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:29
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 00:22
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 00:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 00:30
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 00:30
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.69%E -4.61%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.61%E -2.52%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 00:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -6.96%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 00:29
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 00:30
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 00:30
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 00:28
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:30
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -8.03%E -3.11%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 00:30
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.10%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 00:30
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.10%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 00:30
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 00:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-06 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-06 00:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-06 00:30
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-06 00:29
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%2.4%2026-03-06 00:30
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%2.6%2026-03-06 00:30