Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Katerina Siniakova v Sofia Kenin

Início: 2026-03-06 00:35 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Katerina Siniakova (Local)

Previsão 64.35%1.55odd justa
EV -3.47%
Vantagem -2.31%
Kelly -6.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.81%64.73%64.32%71.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.471.481.5075.19%68.16%67.57%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sofia Kenin (Visitante)

Previsão 35.65%2.81odd justa
EV +21.20%
Vantagem +6.23%
Kelly +8.83%
Crescimento +1.87%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.12%35.27%35.68%37.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.682.653.4040.00%37.31%37.74%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Katerina Siniakova (Local): 64.35%; Sofia Kenin (Visitante): 35.65%. Para Sofia Kenin (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.81. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +21.20%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -14.41%E -10.83%K -43.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +21.20%E +6.23%K +8.83%G +1.87%4.6%2026-03-06 00:20
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -14.41%E -10.83%K -43.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +21.20%E +6.23%K +8.83%G +1.87%4.6%2026-03-06 00:29
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.192%E -0.069%K -0.107%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 00:30
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -1.26%E -0.455%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 00:29
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.97%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 00:28
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.69%E -4.61%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.97%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.97%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 00:29
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.97%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 00:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.97%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 00:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.97%E -0.718%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 00:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.04%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 00:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.04%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 00:30
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.04%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 00:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 00:30
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.69%E -4.61%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 00:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 00:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.90%E -7.07%K -24.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 00:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -4.83%E -1.81%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 00:30
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -7.97%E -5.58%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV -4.83%E -1.81%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 00:30
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -5.18%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 00:30
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 00:29
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 00:30
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:29
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:26
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:29
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 00:22
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 00:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 00:30
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 00:30
GTbets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.69%E -4.61%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.61%E -2.52%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 00:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -6.96%E -2.67%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 00:29
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 00:30
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 00:30
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 00:28
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:30
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -8.03%E -3.11%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 00:30
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.10%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 00:30
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.10%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 00:30
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.76%E -3.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.89%E -4.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 00:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-06 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-06 00:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-06 00:30
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-03-06 00:29
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%2.4%2026-03-06 00:30
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%2.6%2026-03-06 00:30