La scuola delle quote

Katerina Siniakova v Leylah Fernandez

Inizio: 2026-03-08 00:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Katerina Siniakova (Casa)

Previsione 47.50%2.11quota equa
EV +2.12%
Vantaggio +0.988%
Kelly +1.85%
Crescita +0.039%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.42%48.06%46.95%54.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.931.932.1557.80%51.73%51.81%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Leylah Fernandez (Trasferta)

Previsione 52.50%1.90quota equa
EV +10.25%
Vantaggio +4.88%
Kelly +9.32%
Crescita +0.955%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.17%51.94%53.05%56.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.641.841.802.1060.98%54.28%55.56%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -17.83%E -10.30%K -24.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +10.25%E +4.88%K +9.32%G +0.955%5.4%2026-03-07 23:00
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%EV -13.55%E -7.45%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%EV +9.73%E +4.65%K +8.92%G +0.868%2.8%2026-03-07 23:54
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -16.88%E -9.64%K -22.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +7.63%E +3.72%K +7.26%G +0.554%5.9%2026-03-07 23:00
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -14.98%E -8.37%K -18.96%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV +6.58%E +3.24%K +6.38%G +0.420%5.1%2026-03-07 23:50
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -13.55%E -7.45%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +6.05%E +3.00%K +5.93%G +0.359%4.5%2026-03-07 23:44
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -14.03%E -7.75%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV +6.05%E +3.00%K +5.93%G +0.359%4.8%2026-03-07 23:00
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -14.98%E -8.37%K -18.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV +6.05%E +3.00%K +5.93%G +0.359%5.4%2026-03-07 23:39
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -15.93%E -9.00%K -20.68%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV +6.05%E +3.00%K +5.93%G +0.359%6.0%2026-03-07 23:44
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -13.08%E -7.14%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +5.00%E +2.50%K +5.00%G +0.250%4.6%2026-03-07 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -13.08%E -7.14%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +5.00%E +2.50%K +5.00%G +0.250%4.6%2026-03-07 23:29
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -13.55%E -7.45%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV +5.00%E +2.50%K +5.00%G +0.250%4.9%2026-03-07 23:47
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -14.50%E -8.06%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +5.00%E +2.50%K +5.00%G +0.250%5.6%2026-03-07 22:59
PlayUp1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -15.45%E -8.68%K -19.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +5.00%E +2.50%K +5.00%G +0.250%6.2%2026-03-07 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -16.88%E -9.64%K -22.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +5.00%E +2.50%K +5.00%G +0.250%7.1%2026-03-07 22:58
Betr (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -14.98%E -8.37%K -18.96%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV +4.48%E +2.25%K +4.52%G +0.202%6.1%2026-03-07 23:47
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -15.93%E -9.00%K -20.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV +3.95%E +2.00%K +4.03%G +0.159%7.0%2026-03-07 23:00
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -15.93%E -9.00%K -20.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV +3.95%E +2.00%K +4.03%G +0.159%7.0%2026-03-07 23:00
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -15.45%E -8.68%K -19.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV +3.43%E +1.74%K +3.53%G +0.121%6.9%2026-03-07 23:51
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -16.88%E -9.64%K -22.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +2.38%E +1.22%K +2.50%G +0.059%8.4%2026-03-07 22:59
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -10.23%E -5.41%K -11.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -0.775%E -0.410%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:55
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.38%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 23:55
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.38%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 23:55
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.38%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 23:55
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -8.33%E -4.31%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -4.45%E -2.44%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.33%E -4.31%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:54
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.33%E -4.31%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:55
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.33%E -4.31%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:55
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.33%E -4.31%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:54
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 23:54
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 23:55
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.28%E -4.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 23:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.28%E -4.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 23:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.28%E -4.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 23:55
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -9.28%E -4.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 23:55
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.250%E -0.119%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 23:54
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:54
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:54
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:54
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:54
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 23:54
PointsBet (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.95%E -3.01%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 23:54
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -6.90%E -3.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -7.60%E -4.32%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 23:55
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:54
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.250%E -0.119%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 23:54
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 23:54
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 23:55
Unibet (UK)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV +1.17%E +0.551%K +1.04%G +0.012%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -9.70%E -5.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -9.70%E -5.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 23:54
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.250%E -0.119%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.22%E -5.98%K -14.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 23:54
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +2.12%E +0.988%K +1.85%G +0.039%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -11.80%E -7.02%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 23:54
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -12.32%E -7.38%K -18.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 23:55
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +2.12%E +0.988%K +1.85%G +0.039%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -13.37%E -8.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:54
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +2.12%E +0.988%K +1.85%G +0.039%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -13.37%E -8.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:55
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -0.250%E -0.119%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -13.37%E -8.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 23:53
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -1.68%E -0.809%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -13.37%E -8.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 23:54
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -13.90%E -8.48%K -21.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 23:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-03-07 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-07 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-07 23:54
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-03-07 23:55
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.3%2026-03-07 23:54
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%6.8%2026-03-07 23:54