L’École des cotes

Katerina Siniakova v Leylah Fernandez

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Katerina Siniakova (Local)

Prévision 47.50%2.11cote équitable
EV +2.12%
Avantage +0.988%
Kelly +1.85%
Croissance +0.039%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.42%48.06%46.95%54.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.931.932.1557.80%51.73%51.81%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leylah Fernandez (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.50%1.90cote équitable
EV +10.25%
Avantage +4.88%
Kelly +9.32%
Croissance +0.955%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.17%51.94%53.05%56.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.841.802.1060.98%54.28%55.56%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -17.83%E -10.30%K -24.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +10.25%E +4.88%K +9.32%G +0.955%5.4%2026-03-07 23:00
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%EV -13.55%E -7.45%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%EV +9.73%E +4.65%K +8.92%G +0.868%2.8%2026-03-07 23:54
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -16.88%E -9.64%K -22.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +7.63%E +3.72%K +7.26%G +0.554%5.9%2026-03-07 23:00
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -14.98%E -8.37%K -18.96%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV +6.58%E +3.24%K +6.38%G +0.420%5.1%2026-03-07 23:50
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -13.55%E -7.45%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +6.05%E +3.00%K +5.93%G +0.359%4.5%2026-03-07 23:44
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -14.03%E -7.75%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV +6.05%E +3.00%K +5.93%G +0.359%4.8%2026-03-07 23:00
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -14.98%E -8.37%K -18.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV +6.05%E +3.00%K +5.93%G +0.359%5.4%2026-03-07 23:39
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -15.93%E -9.00%K -20.68%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV +6.05%E +3.00%K +5.93%G +0.359%6.0%2026-03-07 23:44
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -13.08%E -7.14%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +5.00%E +2.50%K +5.00%G +0.250%4.6%2026-03-07 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -13.08%E -7.14%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +5.00%E +2.50%K +5.00%G +0.250%4.6%2026-03-07 23:29
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -13.55%E -7.45%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV +5.00%E +2.50%K +5.00%G +0.250%4.9%2026-03-07 23:47
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -14.50%E -8.06%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +5.00%E +2.50%K +5.00%G +0.250%5.6%2026-03-07 22:59
PlayUp1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -15.45%E -8.68%K -19.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +5.00%E +2.50%K +5.00%G +0.250%6.2%2026-03-07 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -16.88%E -9.64%K -22.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +5.00%E +2.50%K +5.00%G +0.250%7.1%2026-03-07 22:58
Betr (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -14.98%E -8.37%K -18.96%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV +4.48%E +2.25%K +4.52%G +0.202%6.1%2026-03-07 23:47
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -15.93%E -9.00%K -20.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV +3.95%E +2.00%K +4.03%G +0.159%7.0%2026-03-07 23:00
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -15.93%E -9.00%K -20.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV +3.95%E +2.00%K +4.03%G +0.159%7.0%2026-03-07 23:00
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -15.45%E -8.68%K -19.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV +3.43%E +1.74%K +3.53%G +0.121%6.9%2026-03-07 23:51
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -16.88%E -9.64%K -22.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +2.38%E +1.22%K +2.50%G +0.059%8.4%2026-03-07 22:59
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -10.23%E -5.41%K -11.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -0.775%E -0.410%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:55
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.38%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 23:55
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.38%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 23:55
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.38%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 23:55
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -8.33%E -4.31%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -4.45%E -2.44%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.33%E -4.31%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:54
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.33%E -4.31%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:55
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.33%E -4.31%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:55
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.33%E -4.31%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:54
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 23:54
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 23:55
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.28%E -4.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 23:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.28%E -4.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 23:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.28%E -4.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 23:55
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -9.28%E -4.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 23:55
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.250%E -0.119%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 23:54
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:54
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:54
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:54
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:54
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 23:54
PointsBet (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.95%E -3.01%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 23:54
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -6.90%E -3.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -7.60%E -4.32%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 23:55
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:54
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.250%E -0.119%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 23:54
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 23:54
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 23:55
Unibet (UK)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV +1.17%E +0.551%K +1.04%G +0.012%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -9.70%E -5.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -9.70%E -5.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 23:54
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.250%E -0.119%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.22%E -5.98%K -14.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 23:54
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +2.12%E +0.988%K +1.85%G +0.039%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -11.80%E -7.02%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 23:54
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -12.32%E -7.38%K -18.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 23:55
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +2.12%E +0.988%K +1.85%G +0.039%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -13.37%E -8.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:54
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +2.12%E +0.988%K +1.85%G +0.039%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -13.37%E -8.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:55
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -0.250%E -0.119%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -13.37%E -8.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 23:53
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -1.68%E -0.809%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -13.37%E -8.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 23:54
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -13.90%E -8.48%K -21.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 23:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-03-07 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-07 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-07 23:54
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-03-07 23:55
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.3%2026-03-07 23:54
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%6.8%2026-03-07 23:54