La escuela de los momios

Katerina Siniakova v Leylah Fernandez

Inicio: 2026-03-08 00:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Katerina Siniakova (Local)

Predicción 47.50%2.11momio equitativo
EV +2.12%
Ventaja +0.988%
Kelly +1.85%
Crecimiento +0.039%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.42%48.06%46.95%54.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.931.932.1557.80%51.73%51.81%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Leylah Fernandez (Visitante)

Predicción 52.50%1.90momio equitativo
EV +10.25%
Ventaja +4.88%
Kelly +9.32%
Crecimiento +0.955%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.17%51.94%53.05%56.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.841.802.1060.98%54.28%55.56%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -17.83%E -10.30%K -24.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +10.25%E +4.88%K +9.32%G +0.955%5.4%2026-03-07 23:00
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%EV -13.55%E -7.45%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%EV +9.73%E +4.65%K +8.92%G +0.868%2.8%2026-03-07 23:54
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -16.88%E -9.64%K -22.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +7.63%E +3.72%K +7.26%G +0.554%5.9%2026-03-07 23:00
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -14.98%E -8.37%K -18.96%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV +6.58%E +3.24%K +6.38%G +0.420%5.1%2026-03-07 23:50
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -13.55%E -7.45%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +6.05%E +3.00%K +5.93%G +0.359%4.5%2026-03-07 23:44
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -14.03%E -7.75%K -17.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV +6.05%E +3.00%K +5.93%G +0.359%4.8%2026-03-07 23:00
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -14.98%E -8.37%K -18.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV +6.05%E +3.00%K +5.93%G +0.359%5.4%2026-03-07 23:39
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -15.93%E -9.00%K -20.68%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV +6.05%E +3.00%K +5.93%G +0.359%6.0%2026-03-07 23:44
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -13.08%E -7.14%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +5.00%E +2.50%K +5.00%G +0.250%4.6%2026-03-07 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -13.08%E -7.14%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +5.00%E +2.50%K +5.00%G +0.250%4.6%2026-03-07 23:29
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -13.55%E -7.45%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV +5.00%E +2.50%K +5.00%G +0.250%4.9%2026-03-07 23:47
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -14.50%E -8.06%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +5.00%E +2.50%K +5.00%G +0.250%5.6%2026-03-07 22:59
PlayUp1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -15.45%E -8.68%K -19.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +5.00%E +2.50%K +5.00%G +0.250%6.2%2026-03-07 23:00
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -16.88%E -9.64%K -22.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +5.00%E +2.50%K +5.00%G +0.250%7.1%2026-03-07 22:58
Betr (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -14.98%E -8.37%K -18.96%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV +4.48%E +2.25%K +4.52%G +0.202%6.1%2026-03-07 23:47
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -15.93%E -9.00%K -20.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV +3.95%E +2.00%K +4.03%G +0.159%7.0%2026-03-07 23:00
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -15.93%E -9.00%K -20.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV +3.95%E +2.00%K +4.03%G +0.159%7.0%2026-03-07 23:00
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -15.45%E -8.68%K -19.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV +3.43%E +1.74%K +3.53%G +0.121%6.9%2026-03-07 23:51
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -16.88%E -9.64%K -22.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +2.38%E +1.22%K +2.50%G +0.059%8.4%2026-03-07 22:59
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -10.23%E -5.41%K -11.49%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -0.775%E -0.410%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:55
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.38%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 23:55
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.38%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 23:55
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.38%E -3.78%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 23:55
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -8.33%E -4.31%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -4.45%E -2.44%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.33%E -4.31%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:54
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.33%E -4.31%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:55
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.33%E -4.31%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:55
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.33%E -4.31%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:54
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 23:54
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 23:55
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.28%E -4.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 23:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.28%E -4.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 23:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.28%E -4.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.50%E -3.06%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 23:55
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -9.28%E -4.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -6.02%E -3.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 23:55
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.250%E -0.119%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 23:54
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:54
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:54
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:54
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:54
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 23:54
PointsBet (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.95%E -3.01%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 23:54
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -6.90%E -3.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -7.60%E -4.32%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 23:55
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:54
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.250%E -0.119%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 23:54
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 23:54
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 23:55
Unibet (UK)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV +1.17%E +0.551%K +1.04%G +0.012%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -9.70%E -5.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -6.43%E -3.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -9.70%E -5.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 23:54
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.250%E -0.119%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.22%E -5.98%K -14.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 23:54
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +2.12%E +0.988%K +1.85%G +0.039%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -11.80%E -7.02%K -17.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 23:54
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -12.32%E -7.38%K -18.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 23:55
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +2.12%E +0.988%K +1.85%G +0.039%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -13.37%E -8.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:54
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +2.12%E +0.988%K +1.85%G +0.039%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -13.37%E -8.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:55
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -0.250%E -0.119%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -13.37%E -8.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 23:53
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -1.68%E -0.809%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -13.37%E -8.11%K -20.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 23:54
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -13.90%E -8.48%K -21.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 23:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-03-07 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-03-07 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-07 23:54
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-03-07 23:55
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.3%2026-03-07 23:54
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%6.8%2026-03-07 23:54