Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karolina Muchova v Antonia Ruzic

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Prediction 83.41%1.20fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -14.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.30%83.28%83.58%85.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.34%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Antonia Ruzic (Visit)

Prediction 16.59%6.03fair odd
EV +7.82%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.111%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.70%16.72%16.42%18.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.535.506.5020.00%18.07%18.18%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Muchova (Local): 83.41%; Antonia Ruzic (Visit): 16.59%. For Antonia Ruzic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.03. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.82%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +7.82%E +1.20%K +1.42%G +0.111%4.7%2026-03-08 21:03
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +3.67%E +0.587%K +0.699%G +0.026%3.7%2026-03-09 06:34
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.09%EV -3.24%E -2.79%K -20.26%G +0.000%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.91%EV +1.68%E +0.274%K +0.327%G +0.005%2.5%2026-03-09 17:45
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +0.352%E +0.058%K +0.070%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.24%E -2.79%K -20.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV -0.478%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-09 15:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.478%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 13:04
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.478%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 14:05
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.478%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 19:24
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.73%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.27%EV -1.80%E -0.305%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 10:44
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.80%E -0.654%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 21:15
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.80%E -0.654%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 21:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.80%E -0.654%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 06:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -3.80%E -0.654%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 17:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -7.41%E -6.68%K -67.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -3.80%E -0.654%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 12:25
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.62%E -0.804%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 13:20
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.62%E -0.804%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 23:40
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.62%E -0.804%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.62%E -0.804%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 13:24
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -5.45%E -0.957%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 10:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -8.25%E -7.50%K -82.46%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -5.45%E -0.957%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 21:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -7.11%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 21:19
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -7.11%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -7.11%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:19
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -7.11%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:24
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -7.94%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 17:54
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 17:55
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 14:44
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 14:45
Everygame🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 05:45
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 10:40
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 14:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.58%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -9.60%E -1.76%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.24%E -2.79%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -9.93%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.24%E -2.79%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -9.93%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 12:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.43%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 17:54
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -10.43%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 11:39
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 10:04
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 03:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 03:09
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 17:48
Bet Victor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.86%6.13I 16.31%NM 16.14%1.1%2026-03-09 17:40
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-03-09 17:55