Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Karolina Muchova v Antonia Ruzic

Início: 2026-03-09 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Previsão 83.41%1.20odd justa
EV -2.41%
Vantagem -2.06%
Kelly -14.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.30%83.28%83.58%85.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.34%87.72%85.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Antonia Ruzic (Visitante)

Previsão 16.59%6.03odd justa
EV +7.82%
Vantagem +1.20%
Kelly +1.42%
Crescimento +0.111%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.70%16.72%16.42%18.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.535.506.5020.00%18.07%18.18%15.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Karolina Muchova (Local): 83.41%; Antonia Ruzic (Visitante): 16.59%. Para Antonia Ruzic (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.03. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.82%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +7.82%E +1.20%K +1.42%G +0.111%4.7%2026-03-08 21:03
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +3.67%E +0.587%K +0.699%G +0.026%3.7%2026-03-09 06:34
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.09%EV -3.24%E -2.79%K -20.26%G +0.000%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.91%EV +1.68%E +0.274%K +0.327%G +0.005%2.5%2026-03-09 17:45
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +0.352%E +0.058%K +0.070%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.24%E -2.79%K -20.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV -0.478%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-09 15:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.478%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 13:04
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.478%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 14:05
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.478%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 19:24
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.73%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.27%EV -1.80%E -0.305%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 10:44
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.80%E -0.654%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 21:15
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.80%E -0.654%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 21:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.80%E -0.654%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 06:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -3.80%E -0.654%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 17:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -7.41%E -6.68%K -67.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -3.80%E -0.654%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 12:25
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.62%E -0.804%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 13:20
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.62%E -0.804%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 23:40
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.62%E -0.804%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.62%E -0.804%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 13:24
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -5.45%E -0.957%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 10:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -8.25%E -7.50%K -82.46%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -5.45%E -0.957%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 21:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -7.11%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 21:19
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -7.11%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -7.11%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:19
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -7.11%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:24
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -7.94%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 17:54
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 17:55
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 14:44
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 14:45
Everygame🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 05:45
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 10:40
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 14:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.58%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -9.60%E -1.76%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.24%E -2.79%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -9.93%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.24%E -2.79%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -9.93%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 12:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.43%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 17:54
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -10.43%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 11:39
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 10:04
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 03:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 03:09
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 17:48
Bet Victor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 17:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.86%6.13I 16.31%NM 16.14%1.1%2026-03-09 17:40
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-03-09 17:55