La escuela de los momios

Karolina Muchova v Antonia Ruzic

Inicio: 2026-03-09 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Predicción 83.41%1.20momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -2.06%
Kelly -14.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.30%83.28%83.58%85.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.34%87.72%85.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Antonia Ruzic (Visitante)

Predicción 16.59%6.03momio equitativo
EV +7.82%
Ventaja +1.20%
Kelly +1.42%
Crecimiento +0.111%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.70%16.72%16.42%18.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.535.506.5020.00%18.07%18.18%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +7.82%E +1.20%K +1.42%G +0.111%4.7%2026-03-08 21:03
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +3.67%E +0.587%K +0.699%G +0.026%3.7%2026-03-09 06:34
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 84.09%EV -3.24%E -2.79%K -20.26%G +0.000%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.91%EV +1.68%E +0.274%K +0.327%G +0.005%2.5%2026-03-09 17:45
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +0.352%E +0.058%K +0.070%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 17:50
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.24%E -2.79%K -20.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV -0.478%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-09 15:09
Unibet (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.478%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 13:04
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.478%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 14:05
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.478%E -0.080%K -0.096%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 19:24
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.73%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.27%EV -1.80%E -0.305%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 10:44
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.80%E -0.654%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 21:15
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.80%E -0.654%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 21:14
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.80%E -0.654%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 06:34
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -3.80%E -0.654%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 17:49
NetBet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -7.41%E -6.68%K -67.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -3.80%E -0.654%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 12:25
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.62%E -0.804%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 13:20
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.62%E -0.804%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 23:40
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.62%E -0.804%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.62%E -0.804%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 13:24
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -5.45%E -0.957%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 10:39
Tipico (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -8.25%E -7.50%K -82.46%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -5.45%E -0.957%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 21:19
Codere (IT)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -7.11%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 21:19
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -7.11%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -7.11%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:19
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -7.11%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 13:24
GTbets1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -7.94%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 17:55
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 17:54
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 17:55
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 14:44
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 14:45
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 05:45
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 17:55
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 16:05
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 16:05
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 10:40
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.58%E -5.87%K -54.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.77%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 14:04
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.58%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -9.60%E -1.76%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.24%E -2.79%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -9.93%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 12:25
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -3.24%E -2.79%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -9.93%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 12:19
PointsBet (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -10.43%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 17:54
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -10.43%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 11:39
Casumo1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:10
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 03:09
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.92%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 10:04
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 12:20
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 03:09
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.08%E -3.54%K -27.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 03:09
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 17:48
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.74%E -5.08%K -44.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -17.06%E -3.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 17:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-09 17:55
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.86%6.13I 16.31%NM 16.14%1.1%2026-03-09 17:40
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-03-09 17:55