Language:English
Jessica Pegula v Elena Rybakina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prediction 37.99%2.63fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.469%
Kelly -0.763%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.12%37.86%37.97%39.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.492.502.6042.55%40.08%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elena Rybakina (Visit)
Prediction 62.01%1.61fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -4.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.57%62.14%62.03%63.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.541.531.5768.03%65.08%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 37.99%; Elena Rybakina (Visit): 62.01%. For Jessica Pegula (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.22%E -0.469%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.22%E -0.469%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.22%E -0.469%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.85%E -6.02%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 10:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -1.60%E -0.618%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.65%E -1.69%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-12 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.98%E -0.767%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.36%E -0.918%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.36%E -0.918%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 23:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -3.88%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 21:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -4.26%E -1.69%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 21:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 09:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 21:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 21:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 21:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 21:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 23:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 23:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 23:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 15:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 12:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 22:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 18:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 10:13 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.61%E -5.11%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -5.40%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.78%E -2.33%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 21:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -6.16%E -2.49%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 18:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.37%E -4.22%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -7.68%E -3.16%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -7.68%E -3.16%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 10:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71% | 1.6% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18% | 2.1% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |