L’École des cotes

Jessica Pegula v Elena Rybakina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Prévision 37.99%2.63cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.469%
Kelly -0.763%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.12%37.86%37.97%39.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.492.502.6042.55%40.08%40.00%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elena Rybakina (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.01%1.61cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -1.69%
Kelly -4.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.57%62.14%62.03%63.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.541.531.5768.03%65.08%65.36%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.22%E -0.469%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 22:00
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.22%E -0.469%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:49
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.22%E -0.469%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.85%E -6.02%K -18.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 10:15
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -1.60%E -0.618%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.65%E -1.69%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-12 20:45
FanDuel2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.98%E -0.767%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:39
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.36%E -0.918%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 23:05
BetOnline.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.36%E -0.918%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 23:05
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 23:49
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 18:55
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -3.88%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 21:25
GTbets2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -4.26%E -1.69%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 21:25
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:55
DraftKings2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 09:54
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 23:20
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:45
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:45
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:50
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:49
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:49
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:54
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 16:50
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 16:45
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 15:15
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:25
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 16:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:00
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 12:45
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 22:00
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 18:50
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 18:50
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 10:13
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.61%E -5.11%K -15.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 23:40
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -5.40%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 16:50
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.78%E -2.33%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 21:40
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -6.16%E -2.49%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 23:50
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 16:45
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 18:54
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 23:50
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.37%E -4.22%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 21:25
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -7.68%E -3.16%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 21:40
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -7.68%E -3.16%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 16:45
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 16:50
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 18:55
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 10:45
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 16:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-03-12 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-03-12 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-03-12 23:50
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%0.7%2026-03-12 23:50
Novig2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%1.6%2026-03-12 23:50
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.1%2026-03-12 23:50