La escuela de los momios

Jessica Pegula v Elena Rybakina

Inicio: 2026-03-13 00:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Predicción 37.99%2.63momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.469%
Kelly -0.763%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.12%37.86%37.97%39.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.492.502.6042.55%40.08%40.00%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Predicción 62.01%1.61momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -1.69%
Kelly -4.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.57%62.14%62.03%63.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.541.531.5768.03%65.08%65.36%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.22%E -0.469%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 22:00
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.22%E -0.469%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:49
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.22%E -0.469%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.85%E -6.02%K -18.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 10:15
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -1.60%E -0.618%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.65%E -1.69%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-12 20:45
FanDuel2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.98%E -0.767%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:39
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.36%E -0.918%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 23:05
BetOnline.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.36%E -0.918%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 23:05
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 23:49
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 18:55
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -3.88%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 21:25
GTbets2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -4.26%E -1.69%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 21:25
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:55
DraftKings2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 09:54
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 23:20
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:45
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:45
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:40
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.09%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:50
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:49
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:49
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:54
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 16:50
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 16:45
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 15:15
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:25
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 16:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:00
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 12:45
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 22:00
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 18:50
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 18:50
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 10:13
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.02%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.61%E -5.11%K -15.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 23:40
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -5.40%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 16:50
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.78%E -2.33%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.89%E -2.51%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 21:40
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -6.16%E -2.49%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 23:50
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 16:45
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 18:54
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 23:50
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.92%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.37%E -4.22%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 21:25
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -7.68%E -3.16%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 21:40
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -7.68%E -3.16%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 16:45
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 16:50
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.75%E -3.78%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 18:55
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.82%E -3.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 10:45
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.72%E -4.56%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 16:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-03-12 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-03-12 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-03-12 23:50
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%0.7%2026-03-12 23:50
Novig2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%1.6%2026-03-12 23:50
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.1%2026-03-12 23:50