Language:English
Jessica Pegula v Belinda Bencic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prediction 60.98%1.64fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.749%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.97%61.04%61.03%62.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.571.571.6268.03%63.88%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Belinda Bencic (Visit)
Prediction 39.02%2.56fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -0.979%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%38.96%38.97%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.412.402.5043.48%41.52%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 60.98%; Belinda Bencic (Visit): 39.02%. For Jessica Pegula (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.62, with an expected value of -1.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.21%E -0.749%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.82%E -1.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.82%E -1.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 19:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.25%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.25%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 19:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.04%E -1.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 19:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.04%E -1.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.04%E -1.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.04%E -1.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 19:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -3.04%E -1.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -7.91%E -3.35%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.96%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.30%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.25%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.96%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -6.74%E -2.82%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 19:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.30%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -9.47%E -4.08%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -9.47%E -4.08%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.01%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 19:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.48%E -3.54%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.23%E -1.30%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 19:32 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.48%E -3.54%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.30%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.48%E -3.54%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.30%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.09%E -3.96%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 19:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.09%E -3.96%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 19:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.09%E -3.96%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 19:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.09%E -3.96%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 19:37 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.09%E -3.96%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 19:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.09%E -3.96%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.30%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -3.62%E -1.47%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 19:36 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.52%E -3.17%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.52%E -3.17%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.25%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-11 19:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.31%E -4.81%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.57%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.31%E -4.81%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.57%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.53%E -5.69%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 19:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.53%E -5.69%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.30%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 19:37 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.36%E -7.05%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 0.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 0.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42% | 1.9% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |