Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula v Belinda Bencic

Início: 2026-03-11 19:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Previsão 60.98%1.64odd justa
EV -1.21%
Vantagem -0.749%
Kelly -1.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.97%61.04%61.03%62.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.571.571.6268.03%63.88%63.69%61.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Belinda Bencic (Visitante)

Previsão 39.02%2.56odd justa
EV -2.45%
Vantagem -0.979%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.03%38.96%38.97%41.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.412.402.5043.48%41.52%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jessica Pegula (Local): 60.98%; Belinda Bencic (Visitante): 39.02%. Para Jessica Pegula (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.64. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.62, com valor esperado de -1.21%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.21%E -0.749%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.82%E -1.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-11 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.82%E -1.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-11 19:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.25%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 19:40
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.25%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 19:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.04%E -1.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-11 19:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.04%E -1.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-11 19:40
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.04%E -1.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 19:40
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.04%E -1.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 19:39
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -3.04%E -1.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -7.91%E -3.35%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-11 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.96%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 19:40
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.30%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 19:40
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.25%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 19:40
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.96%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -6.74%E -2.82%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 19:39
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.30%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -9.47%E -4.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -9.47%E -4.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 19:40
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.01%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 19:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 19:40
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.48%E -3.54%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.23%E -1.30%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 19:32
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.48%E -3.54%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.30%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 19:40
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.48%E -3.54%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.30%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 19:40
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.09%E -3.96%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 19:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.09%E -3.96%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 19:34
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.09%E -3.96%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 19:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.09%E -3.96%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 19:37
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.09%E -3.96%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 19:39
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.09%E -3.96%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.30%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 19:40
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 19:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 19:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -3.62%E -1.47%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 19:36
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 19:40
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.52%E -3.17%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.52%E -3.17%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 19:40
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.25%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-11 19:39
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.31%E -4.81%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.57%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 19:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.31%E -4.81%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.57%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 19:40
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.53%E -5.69%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 19:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.53%E -5.69%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.30%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-11 19:37
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.36%E -7.05%K -22.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-11 19:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-03-11 19:40
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-03-11 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-11 19:40
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%1.9%2026-03-11 19:40