Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jessica Pegula v Belinda Bencic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-11 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Prévision 60.98%1.64cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.749%
Kelly -1.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.97%61.04%61.03%62.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.571.571.6268.03%63.88%63.69%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Belinda Bencic (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.02%2.56cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -0.979%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.03%38.96%38.97%41.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.412.402.5043.48%41.52%41.67%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jessica Pegula (Local) : 60.98% ; Belinda Bencic (Visiteur) : 39.02%. Pour Jessica Pegula (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.64. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.62, pour une espérance de -1.21% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.21%E -0.749%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.82%E -1.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-11 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.82%E -1.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-11 19:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.25%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 19:40
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.43%E -1.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.25%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 19:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.04%E -1.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-11 19:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.04%E -1.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.84%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-11 19:40
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.04%E -1.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 19:40
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.04%E -1.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 19:39
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -3.04%E -1.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -7.91%E -3.35%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-11 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.96%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 19:40
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.30%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 19:40
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.65%E -2.31%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.25%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 19:40
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.96%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -6.74%E -2.82%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 19:39
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.13%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.30%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -9.47%E -4.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.26%E -2.72%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -9.47%E -4.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 19:40
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.01%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 19:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.87%E -3.12%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 19:40
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.48%E -3.54%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.23%E -1.30%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 19:32
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.48%E -3.54%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.30%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 19:40
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.48%E -3.54%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.30%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 19:40
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.09%E -3.96%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 19:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.09%E -3.96%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 19:34
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.09%E -3.96%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 19:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.09%E -3.96%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 19:37
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.09%E -3.96%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 19:39
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.09%E -3.96%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.30%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 19:40
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 19:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 19:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -3.62%E -1.47%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 19:36
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 19:40
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.52%E -3.17%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.52%E -3.17%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 19:40
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.70%E -4.38%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.25%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-11 19:39
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.31%E -4.81%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.57%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 19:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.31%E -4.81%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.57%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 19:40
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.53%E -5.69%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 19:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.53%E -5.69%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.30%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-11 19:37
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.36%E -7.05%K -22.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.45%E -0.979%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-11 19:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-03-11 19:40
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-03-11 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-03-11 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-11 19:40
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%1.9%2026-03-11 19:40