Language:English
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro v Linda Noskova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local)
Prediction 33.05%3.03fair odd
EV +28.89%
Edge +7.41%
Kelly +9.96%
Growth +2.88%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.68%33.18%33.15%40.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.822.803.9043.10%35.49%35.71%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Linda Noskova (Visit)
Prediction 66.95%1.49fair odd
EV +6.45%
Edge +4.06%
Kelly +10.93%
Growth +0.705%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.34%66.82%66.85%76.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.421.411.5982.64%70.51%70.92%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local): 33.05%; Linda Noskova (Visit): 66.95%. For Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +28.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV +28.89%E +7.41%K +9.96%G +2.88% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -18.99%E -15.69%K -90.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +10.72%E +3.20%K +4.56%G +0.489% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -10.96%E -8.24%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +9.06%E +2.75%K +3.94%G +0.357% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -10.29%E -7.68%K -30.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +7.41%E +2.28%K +3.29%G +0.244% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -9.62%E -7.12%K -27.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 19:13 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +2.45%E +0.792%K +1.17%G +0.029% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +2.45%E +0.792%K +1.17%G +0.029% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -10.29%E -7.68%K -30.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 19:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +2.45%E +0.792%K +1.17%G +0.029% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -10.96%E -8.24%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 19:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +2.45%E +0.792%K +1.17%G +0.029% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -10.96%E -8.24%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 19:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV +0.802%E +0.263%K +0.391%G +0.003% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.850%E -0.283%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 19:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.850%E -0.283%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -1.51%E -0.507%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -7.61%E -5.51%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.848%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.94%E -4.99%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -3.16%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -3.16%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 19:11 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 19:06 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -7.61%E -5.51%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 19:06 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.82%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.82%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -5.15%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 19:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 19:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.61%E -5.51%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.11%E -3.31%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -12.42%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -13.08%E -4.97%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.10%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -14.07%E -5.41%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +0.425%E +0.283%K +0.850%G +0.004% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -14.07%E -5.41%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -0.244%E -0.164%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -14.07%E -5.41%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -0.244%E -0.164%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -14.07%E -5.41%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -0.244%E -0.164%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -14.07%E -5.41%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -2.92%E -2.02%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -15.72%E -6.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -1.58%E -1.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -15.72%E -6.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -1.58%E -1.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -15.72%E -6.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -1.58%E -1.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -15.72%E -6.17%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 19:21 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -17.38%E -6.95%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +0.425%E +0.283%K +0.850%G +0.004% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -17.38%E -6.95%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +0.425%E +0.283%K +0.850%G +0.004% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -17.38%E -6.95%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +0.425%E +0.283%K +0.850%G +0.004% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -19.03%E -7.77%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV +3.77%E +2.43%K +6.86%G +0.259% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -20.68%E -8.62%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV +3.77%E +2.43%K +6.86%G +0.259% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -20.68%E -8.62%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV +2.43%E +1.59%K +4.59%G +0.112% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -23.32%E -10.05%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV +6.45%E +4.06%K +10.93%G +0.705% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 19:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 19:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.70% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.30% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |