L’École des cotes

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro v Linda Noskova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local)

Prévision 33.05%3.03cote équitable
EV +28.89%
Avantage +7.41%
Kelly +9.96%
Croissance +2.88%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.68%33.18%33.15%40.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.322.822.803.9043.10%35.49%35.71%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Linda Noskova (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.95%1.49cote équitable
EV +6.45%
Avantage +4.06%
Kelly +10.93%
Croissance +0.705%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.34%66.82%66.85%76.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.211.421.411.5982.64%70.51%70.92%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV +28.89%E +7.41%K +9.96%G +2.88%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -18.99%E -15.69%K -90.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 19:14
Coolbet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +10.72%E +3.20%K +4.56%G +0.489%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -10.96%E -8.24%K -33.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:19
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +9.06%E +2.75%K +3.94%G +0.357%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -10.29%E -7.68%K -30.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 19:20
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +7.41%E +2.28%K +3.29%G +0.244%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -9.62%E -7.12%K -27.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 19:13
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +2.45%E +0.792%K +1.17%G +0.029%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:04
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +2.45%E +0.792%K +1.17%G +0.029%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -10.29%E -7.68%K -30.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:19
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +2.45%E +0.792%K +1.17%G +0.029%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -10.96%E -8.24%K -33.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 19:19
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +2.45%E +0.792%K +1.17%G +0.029%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -10.96%E -8.24%K -33.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 19:18
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV +0.802%E +0.263%K +0.391%G +0.003%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-06 19:14
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.850%E -0.283%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:09
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.850%E -0.283%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:20
Unibet (FR)2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -1.51%E -0.507%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -7.61%E -5.51%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 19:16
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.848%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.94%E -4.99%K -17.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:01
BetOnline.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -3.16%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 19:10
LowVig.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -3.16%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 19:11
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 19:06
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -7.61%E -5.51%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:05
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 19:20
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 19:20
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 19:20
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 19:20
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 19:06
GTbets2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.82%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:05
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.82%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 19:20
BetUS2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -5.15%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 19:09
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:20
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:20
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 19:20
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 19:09
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:05
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:20
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.61%E -5.51%K -20.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 19:20
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.11%E -3.31%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 19:20
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:20
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 19:20
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -12.42%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 19:20
Betclic (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -13.08%E -4.97%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.10%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:20
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -14.07%E -5.41%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +0.425%E +0.283%K +0.850%G +0.004%5.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -14.07%E -5.41%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -0.244%E -0.164%K -0.499%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:20
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -14.07%E -5.41%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -0.244%E -0.164%K -0.499%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:20
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -14.07%E -5.41%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -0.244%E -0.164%K -0.499%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -14.07%E -5.41%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -2.92%E -2.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 19:20
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -15.72%E -6.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -1.58%E -1.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -15.72%E -6.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -1.58%E -1.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 19:20
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -15.72%E -6.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -1.58%E -1.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 19:20
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -15.72%E -6.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 19:21
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -17.38%E -6.95%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +0.425%E +0.283%K +0.850%G +0.004%6.7%2026-03-06 19:20
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -17.38%E -6.95%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +0.425%E +0.283%K +0.850%G +0.004%6.7%2026-03-06 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -17.38%E -6.95%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +0.425%E +0.283%K +0.850%G +0.004%6.7%2026-03-06 19:20
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -19.03%E -7.77%K -13.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV +3.77%E +2.43%K +6.86%G +0.259%5.3%2026-03-06 19:20
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -20.68%E -8.62%K -14.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV +3.77%E +2.43%K +6.86%G +0.259%6.2%2026-03-06 19:20
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -20.68%E -8.62%K -14.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV +2.43%E +1.59%K +4.59%G +0.112%7.0%2026-03-06 19:20
DraftKings2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -23.32%E -10.05%K -17.67%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV +6.45%E +4.06%K +10.93%G +0.705%6.0%2026-03-06 19:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-03-06 19:20
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%1.5%2026-03-06 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%3.9%2026-03-06 19:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%3.9%2026-03-06 19:21
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%5.9%2026-03-06 19:20
Novig2.82I 35.46%NM 32.70%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.30%8.5%2026-03-06 19:20