La escuela de los momios

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro v Linda Noskova

Inicio: 2026-03-06 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local)

Predicción 33.05%3.03momio equitativo
EV +28.89%
Ventaja +7.41%
Kelly +9.96%
Crecimiento +2.88%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.68%33.18%33.15%40.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.322.822.803.9043.10%35.49%35.71%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Linda Noskova (Visitante)

Predicción 66.95%1.49momio equitativo
EV +6.45%
Ventaja +4.06%
Kelly +10.93%
Crecimiento +0.705%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.34%66.82%66.85%76.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.211.421.411.5982.64%70.51%70.92%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV +28.89%E +7.41%K +9.96%G +2.88%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -18.99%E -15.69%K -90.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 19:14
Coolbet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +10.72%E +3.20%K +4.56%G +0.489%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -10.96%E -8.24%K -33.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:19
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +9.06%E +2.75%K +3.94%G +0.357%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -10.29%E -7.68%K -30.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 19:20
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +7.41%E +2.28%K +3.29%G +0.244%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -9.62%E -7.12%K -27.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 19:13
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +2.45%E +0.792%K +1.17%G +0.029%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:04
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +2.45%E +0.792%K +1.17%G +0.029%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -10.29%E -7.68%K -30.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:19
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +2.45%E +0.792%K +1.17%G +0.029%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -10.96%E -8.24%K -33.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 19:19
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +2.45%E +0.792%K +1.17%G +0.029%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -10.96%E -8.24%K -33.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 19:18
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV +0.802%E +0.263%K +0.391%G +0.003%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-06 19:14
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.850%E -0.283%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:09
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.850%E -0.283%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:20
Unibet (FR)2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -1.51%E -0.507%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -7.61%E -5.51%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 19:16
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -2.50%E -0.848%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.94%E -4.99%K -17.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:01
BetOnline.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -3.16%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 19:10
LowVig.ag2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -3.16%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 19:11
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 19:06
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -7.61%E -5.51%K -20.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:05
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 19:20
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 19:20
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 19:20
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 19:20
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 19:06
GTbets2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.82%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:05
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.82%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 19:20
BetUS2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -5.15%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 19:09
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:20
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:20
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 19:20
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 19:09
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:05
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:20
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.61%E -5.51%K -20.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.46%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.95%E -6.58%K -24.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 19:20
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.11%E -3.31%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 19:20
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:20
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 19:20
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -12.42%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 19:20
Betclic (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -13.08%E -4.97%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.10%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:20
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -14.07%E -5.41%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +0.425%E +0.283%K +0.850%G +0.004%5.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -14.07%E -5.41%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -0.244%E -0.164%K -0.499%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:20
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -14.07%E -5.41%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -0.244%E -0.164%K -0.499%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:20
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -14.07%E -5.41%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -0.244%E -0.164%K -0.499%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -14.07%E -5.41%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -2.92%E -2.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 19:20
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -15.72%E -6.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -1.58%E -1.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -15.72%E -6.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -1.58%E -1.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 19:20
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -15.72%E -6.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -1.58%E -1.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 19:20
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -15.72%E -6.17%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 19:21
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -17.38%E -6.95%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +0.425%E +0.283%K +0.850%G +0.004%6.7%2026-03-06 19:20
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -17.38%E -6.95%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +0.425%E +0.283%K +0.850%G +0.004%6.7%2026-03-06 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -17.38%E -6.95%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +0.425%E +0.283%K +0.850%G +0.004%6.7%2026-03-06 19:20
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -19.03%E -7.77%K -13.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV +3.77%E +2.43%K +6.86%G +0.259%5.3%2026-03-06 19:20
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -20.68%E -8.62%K -14.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV +3.77%E +2.43%K +6.86%G +0.259%6.2%2026-03-06 19:20
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -20.68%E -8.62%K -14.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV +2.43%E +1.59%K +4.59%G +0.112%7.0%2026-03-06 19:20
DraftKings2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -23.32%E -10.05%K -17.67%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV +6.45%E +4.06%K +10.93%G +0.705%6.0%2026-03-06 19:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-03-06 19:20
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%1.5%2026-03-06 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%3.9%2026-03-06 19:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%3.9%2026-03-06 19:21
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%5.9%2026-03-06 19:20
Novig2.82I 35.46%NM 32.70%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.30%8.5%2026-03-06 19:20