Language:English
Emma Raducanu v Amanda Anisimova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Emma Raducanu (Local)
Prediction 20.94%4.77fair odd
EV +34.05%
Edge +5.32%
Kelly +6.30%
Growth +2.15%
assuming max odds 6.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.01%21.64%19.92%29.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.204.314.506.4031.25%23.21%22.22%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Amanda Anisimova (Visit)
Prediction 79.06%1.26fair odd
EV +5.93%
Edge +4.43%
Kelly +17.45%
Growth +1.04%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.64%78.36%80.08%84.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.221.191.3489.29%81.72%84.03%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emma Raducanu (Local): 20.94%; Amanda Anisimova (Visit): 79.06%. For Emma Raducanu (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.77. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +34.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +34.05%E +5.32%K +6.30%G +2.15% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -10.67%E -9.44%K -82.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +15.20%E +2.76%K +3.38%G +0.513% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -11.46%E -10.23%K -95.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +9.96%E +1.90%K +2.34%G +0.233% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -9.09%E -7.90%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +8.91%E +1.71%K +2.12%G +0.189% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -6.71%E -5.69%K -37.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 23:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +8.91%E +1.71%K +2.12%G +0.189% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.51%E -6.41%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +8.91%E +1.71%K +2.12%G +0.189% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.51%E -6.41%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 23:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +8.91%E +1.71%K +2.12%G +0.189% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.51%E -6.41%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +8.91%E +1.71%K +2.12%G +0.189% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.51%E -6.41%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +6.82%E +1.34%K +1.66%G +0.113% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -9.88%E -8.66%K -70.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +4.72%E +0.945%K +1.18%G +0.056% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.09%E -7.90%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +4.72%E +0.945%K +1.18%G +0.056% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.09%E -7.90%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +4.72%E +0.945%K +1.18%G +0.056% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.88%E -8.66%K -70.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.63%E +0.536%K +0.674%G +0.018% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.71%E -5.69%K -37.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 23:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +2.63%E +0.536%K +0.674%G +0.018% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.30%E -7.15%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 23:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +2.63%E +0.536%K +0.674%G +0.018% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.30%E -7.15%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +2.63%E +0.536%K +0.674%G +0.018% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.30%E -7.15%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +2.63%E +0.536%K +0.674%G +0.018% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -9.09%E -7.90%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 23:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +0.534%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.51%E -6.41%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 23:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +0.534%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -9.88%E -8.66%K -70.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.513%E -0.108%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.13%E -4.28%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 23:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -0.513%E -0.108%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -8.30%E -7.15%K -51.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.56%E -0.332%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.92%E -4.98%K -31.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 23:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.92%E -4.98%K -31.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 23:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.71%E -5.69%K -37.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.51%E -6.41%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 23:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -7.84%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.92%E -4.98%K -31.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 23:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.84%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.71%E -5.69%K -37.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -20.41%E -5.37%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.18%E -0.945%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 23:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.25%EV -20.83%E -5.51%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.75%EV -4.34%E -3.59%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 23:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -25.23%E -7.07%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV +5.93%E +4.43%K +17.45%G +1.04% | 2.6% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -26.07%E -7.38%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV +3.56%E +2.72%K +11.49%G +0.409% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 23:07 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.82%EV -26.28%E -7.46%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.18%EV +1.98%E +1.54%K +6.83%G +0.135% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -26.69%E -7.63%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +1.98%E +1.54%K +6.83%G +0.135% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -26.90%E -7.71%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -26.90%E -7.71%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -28.79%E -8.47%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -28.79%E -8.47%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV +4.35%E +3.30%K +13.60%G +0.592% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -28.79%E -8.47%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV +4.35%E +3.30%K +13.60%G +0.592% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 23:07 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -28.79%E -8.47%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -0.390%E -0.310%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 23:12 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -29.84%E -8.91%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV +3.56%E +2.72%K +11.49%G +0.409% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -29.84%E -8.91%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV +1.19%E +0.930%K +4.25%G +0.051% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 23:08 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -30.88%E -9.36%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -30.88%E -9.36%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -30.88%E -9.36%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +2.77%E +2.13%K +9.24%G +0.256% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -30.88%E -9.36%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +2.77%E +2.13%K +9.24%G +0.256% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -31.93%E -9.82%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 22:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -32.98%E -10.31%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.67% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.33% | 1.7% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 2.8% | 2026-03-08 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38% | 2.8% | 2026-03-08 23:15 |