L’École des cotes

Emma Raducanu v Amanda Anisimova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 23:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Emma Raducanu (Local)

Prévision 20.94%4.77cote équitable
EV +34.05%
Avantage +5.32%
Kelly +6.30%
Croissance +2.15%

avec la cote maximale 6.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.01%21.64%19.92%29.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.204.314.506.4031.25%23.21%22.22%15.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Amanda Anisimova (Visiteur)

Prévision 79.06%1.26cote équitable
EV +5.93%
Avantage +4.43%
Kelly +17.45%
Croissance +1.04%

avec la cote maximale 1.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.64%78.36%80.08%84.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.221.191.3489.29%81.72%84.03%74.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +34.05%E +5.32%K +6.30%G +2.15%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -10.67%E -9.44%K -82.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 23:15
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +15.20%E +2.76%K +3.38%G +0.513%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -11.46%E -10.23%K -95.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 23:15
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +9.96%E +1.90%K +2.34%G +0.233%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -9.09%E -7.90%K -60.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 23:15
FanDuel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +8.91%E +1.71%K +2.12%G +0.189%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -6.71%E -5.69%K -37.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 23:14
Casumo5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +8.91%E +1.71%K +2.12%G +0.189%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.51%E -6.41%K -44.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 23:15
Unibet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +8.91%E +1.71%K +2.12%G +0.189%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.51%E -6.41%K -44.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 23:14
Unibet (NL)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +8.91%E +1.71%K +2.12%G +0.189%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.51%E -6.41%K -44.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 23:15
Unibet (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +8.91%E +1.71%K +2.12%G +0.189%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.51%E -6.41%K -44.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 23:15
Winamax (DE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +6.82%E +1.34%K +1.66%G +0.113%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -9.88%E -8.66%K -70.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 23:15
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +4.72%E +0.945%K +1.18%G +0.056%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.09%E -7.90%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 23:15
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +4.72%E +0.945%K +1.18%G +0.056%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.09%E -7.90%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 23:15
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +4.72%E +0.945%K +1.18%G +0.056%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.88%E -8.66%K -70.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 23:15
Coolbet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.63%E +0.536%K +0.674%G +0.018%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.71%E -5.69%K -37.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 23:14
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +2.63%E +0.536%K +0.674%G +0.018%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.30%E -7.15%K -51.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 23:14
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +2.63%E +0.536%K +0.674%G +0.018%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.30%E -7.15%K -51.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 23:15
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +2.63%E +0.536%K +0.674%G +0.018%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.30%E -7.15%K -51.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 23:15
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +2.63%E +0.536%K +0.674%G +0.018%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -9.09%E -7.90%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 23:14
BoyleSports4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +0.534%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.51%E -6.41%K -44.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +0.534%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -9.88%E -8.66%K -70.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 23:15
Bovada4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.513%E -0.108%K -0.137%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.13%E -4.28%K -25.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 23:14
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -0.513%E -0.108%K -0.137%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -8.30%E -7.15%K -51.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 23:15
Unibet (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.56%E -0.332%K -0.422%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.92%E -4.98%K -31.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 23:14
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.92%E -4.98%K -31.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:14
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.71%E -5.69%K -37.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 23:15
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.51%E -6.41%K -44.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 23:14
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -7.84%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.92%E -4.98%K -31.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 23:14
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.84%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.71%E -5.69%K -37.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -20.41%E -5.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.18%E -0.945%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:14
Betclic (FR)3.78I 26.46%NM 24.25%EV -20.83%E -5.51%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.75%EV -4.34%E -3.59%K -20.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 23:13
Pinnacle3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -25.23%E -7.07%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV +5.93%E +4.43%K +17.45%G +1.04%2.6%2026-03-08 23:15
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -26.07%E -7.38%K -10.30%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV +3.56%E +2.72%K +11.49%G +0.409%4.7%2026-03-08 23:07
Unibet (FR)3.52I 28.41%NM 26.82%EV -26.28%E -7.46%K -10.43%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.18%EV +1.98%E +1.54%K +6.83%G +0.135%5.9%2026-03-08 23:00
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -26.69%E -7.63%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +1.98%E +1.54%K +6.83%G +0.135%6.1%2026-03-08 22:59
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -26.90%E -7.71%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802%3.8%2026-03-08 23:00
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -26.90%E -7.71%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802%3.8%2026-03-08 23:00
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -28.79%E -8.47%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802%4.6%2026-03-08 23:00
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -28.79%E -8.47%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV +4.35%E +3.30%K +13.60%G +0.592%5.2%2026-03-08 23:00
GTbets3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -28.79%E -8.47%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV +4.35%E +3.30%K +13.60%G +0.592%5.2%2026-03-08 23:07
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -28.79%E -8.47%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -0.390%E -0.310%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 23:12
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -29.84%E -8.91%K -12.70%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV +3.56%E +2.72%K +11.49%G +0.409%6.2%2026-03-08 23:00
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -29.84%E -8.91%K -12.70%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV +1.19%E +0.930%K +4.25%G +0.051%8.0%2026-03-08 23:08
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -30.88%E -9.36%K -13.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802%5.5%2026-03-08 22:59
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -30.88%E -9.36%K -13.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802%5.5%2026-03-08 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -30.88%E -9.36%K -13.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +2.77%E +2.13%K +9.24%G +0.256%7.2%2026-03-08 23:00
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -30.88%E -9.36%K -13.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +2.77%E +2.13%K +9.24%G +0.256%7.2%2026-03-08 22:59
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -31.93%E -9.82%K -14.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802%6.0%2026-03-08 22:59
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -32.98%E -10.31%K -14.99%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802%6.4%2026-03-08 23:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-03-08 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-03-08 23:15
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.67%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.33%1.7%2026-03-08 23:15
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%2.8%2026-03-08 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%2.8%2026-03-08 23:15