La escuela de los momios

Emma Raducanu v Amanda Anisimova

Inicio: 2026-03-08 23:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Emma Raducanu (Local)

Predicción 20.94%4.77momio equitativo
EV +34.05%
Ventaja +5.32%
Kelly +6.30%
Crecimiento +2.15%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.01%21.64%19.92%29.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.204.314.506.4031.25%23.21%22.22%15.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Amanda Anisimova (Visitante)

Predicción 79.06%1.26momio equitativo
EV +5.93%
Ventaja +4.43%
Kelly +17.45%
Crecimiento +1.04%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.64%78.36%80.08%84.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.221.191.3489.29%81.72%84.03%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +34.05%E +5.32%K +6.30%G +2.15%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -10.67%E -9.44%K -82.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 23:15
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +15.20%E +2.76%K +3.38%G +0.513%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -11.46%E -10.23%K -95.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 23:15
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +9.96%E +1.90%K +2.34%G +0.233%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -9.09%E -7.90%K -60.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 23:15
FanDuel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +8.91%E +1.71%K +2.12%G +0.189%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -6.71%E -5.69%K -37.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 23:14
Casumo5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +8.91%E +1.71%K +2.12%G +0.189%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.51%E -6.41%K -44.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 23:15
Unibet5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +8.91%E +1.71%K +2.12%G +0.189%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.51%E -6.41%K -44.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 23:14
Unibet (NL)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +8.91%E +1.71%K +2.12%G +0.189%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.51%E -6.41%K -44.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 23:15
Unibet (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +8.91%E +1.71%K +2.12%G +0.189%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.51%E -6.41%K -44.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 23:15
Winamax (DE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +6.82%E +1.34%K +1.66%G +0.113%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -9.88%E -8.66%K -70.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 23:15
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +4.72%E +0.945%K +1.18%G +0.056%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.09%E -7.90%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 23:15
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +4.72%E +0.945%K +1.18%G +0.056%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.09%E -7.90%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 23:15
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +4.72%E +0.945%K +1.18%G +0.056%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.88%E -8.66%K -70.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 23:15
Coolbet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.63%E +0.536%K +0.674%G +0.018%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.71%E -5.69%K -37.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 23:14
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +2.63%E +0.536%K +0.674%G +0.018%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.30%E -7.15%K -51.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 23:14
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +2.63%E +0.536%K +0.674%G +0.018%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.30%E -7.15%K -51.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 23:15
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +2.63%E +0.536%K +0.674%G +0.018%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -8.30%E -7.15%K -51.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 23:15
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +2.63%E +0.536%K +0.674%G +0.018%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -9.09%E -7.90%K -60.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 23:14
BoyleSports4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +0.534%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.51%E -6.41%K -44.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +0.534%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -9.88%E -8.66%K -70.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 23:15
Bovada4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.513%E -0.108%K -0.137%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.13%E -4.28%K -25.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 23:14
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -0.513%E -0.108%K -0.137%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -8.30%E -7.15%K -51.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 23:15
Unibet (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.56%E -0.332%K -0.422%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.92%E -4.98%K -31.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 23:14
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.92%E -4.98%K -31.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:14
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.71%E -5.69%K -37.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 23:15
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.51%E -6.41%K -44.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 23:14
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -7.84%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.92%E -4.98%K -31.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 23:14
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.84%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.71%E -5.69%K -37.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -20.41%E -5.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.18%E -0.945%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 23:14
Betclic (FR)3.78I 26.46%NM 24.25%EV -20.83%E -5.51%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.75%EV -4.34%E -3.59%K -20.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 23:13
Pinnacle3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -25.23%E -7.07%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV +5.93%E +4.43%K +17.45%G +1.04%2.6%2026-03-08 23:15
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -26.07%E -7.38%K -10.30%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV +3.56%E +2.72%K +11.49%G +0.409%4.7%2026-03-08 23:07
Unibet (FR)3.52I 28.41%NM 26.82%EV -26.28%E -7.46%K -10.43%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.18%EV +1.98%E +1.54%K +6.83%G +0.135%5.9%2026-03-08 23:00
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -26.69%E -7.63%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV +1.98%E +1.54%K +6.83%G +0.135%6.1%2026-03-08 22:59
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -26.90%E -7.71%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802%3.8%2026-03-08 23:00
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -26.90%E -7.71%K -10.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802%3.8%2026-03-08 23:00
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -28.79%E -8.47%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802%4.6%2026-03-08 23:00
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -28.79%E -8.47%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV +4.35%E +3.30%K +13.60%G +0.592%5.2%2026-03-08 23:00
GTbets3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -28.79%E -8.47%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV +4.35%E +3.30%K +13.60%G +0.592%5.2%2026-03-08 23:07
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -28.79%E -8.47%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -0.390%E -0.310%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 23:12
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -29.84%E -8.91%K -12.70%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV +3.56%E +2.72%K +11.49%G +0.409%6.2%2026-03-08 23:00
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -29.84%E -8.91%K -12.70%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV +1.19%E +0.930%K +4.25%G +0.051%8.0%2026-03-08 23:08
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -30.88%E -9.36%K -13.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802%5.5%2026-03-08 22:59
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -30.88%E -9.36%K -13.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802%5.5%2026-03-08 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -30.88%E -9.36%K -13.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +2.77%E +2.13%K +9.24%G +0.256%7.2%2026-03-08 23:00
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -30.88%E -9.36%K -13.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +2.77%E +2.13%K +9.24%G +0.256%7.2%2026-03-08 22:59
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -31.93%E -9.82%K -14.19%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802%6.0%2026-03-08 22:59
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -32.98%E -10.31%K -14.99%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV +5.14%E +3.87%K +15.59%G +0.802%6.4%2026-03-08 23:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-03-08 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-03-08 23:15
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.67%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.33%1.7%2026-03-08 23:15
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%2.8%2026-03-08 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38%2.8%2026-03-08 23:15