Language:English
Aryna Sabalenka v Jaqueline Cristian
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prediction 93.71%1.07fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -63.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.66%93.64%93.82%96.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.021.021.04100.00%98.06%98.04%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jaqueline Cristian (Visit)
Prediction 6.29%15.90fair odd
EV +57.19%
Edge +2.29%
Kelly +2.38%
Growth +1.36%
assuming max odds 25.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.88%6.36%6.18%9.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0014.2113.0025.0010.00%7.04%7.69%4.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 93.71%; Jaqueline Cristian (Visit): 6.29%. For Jaqueline Cristian (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.90. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 25.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +57.19%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +57.19%E +2.29%K +2.38%G +1.36% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +38.33%E +1.74%K +1.83%G +0.699% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +32.04%E +1.53%K +1.60%G +0.513% | 2.8% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.29%E -6.29%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +32.04%E +1.53%K +1.60%G +0.513% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 18:13 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +19.46%E +1.02%K +1.08%G +0.210% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.71%EV -2.54%E -2.44%K -63.48%G +0.000% | 18.63I 5.37%NM 5.29%EV +17.14%E +0.920%K +0.972%G +0.167% | 1.5% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +13.18%E +0.732%K +0.775%G +0.102% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +13.18%E +0.732%K +0.775%G +0.102% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +6.89%E +0.405%K +0.431%G +0.030% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +6.89%E +0.405%K +0.431%G +0.030% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +6.89%E +0.405%K +0.431%G +0.030% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +0.601%E +0.038%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +0.601%E +0.038%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.82%EV -2.54%E -2.44%K -63.48%G +0.000% | 15.80I 6.33%NM 6.18%EV -0.657%E -0.042%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -5.69%E -0.379%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -5.69%E -0.379%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.36%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 14.34I 6.97%NM 6.64%EV -9.84%E -0.686%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -18.26%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 18:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -18.26%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -18.26%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -18.26%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -18.26%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 18:12 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000% | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV -18.89%E -1.46%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -21.41%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -21.41%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -21.41%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000% | 12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -23.79%E -1.96%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000% | 12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -23.79%E -1.96%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -24.55%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -24.55%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -24.55%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -24.55%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -24.55%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -24.55%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -27.69%E -2.41%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 18:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -29.27%E -2.60%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.54%E -2.44%K -63.48%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 17:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:13 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 18:11 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -37.12%E -3.71%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.49% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.51% | 1.6% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.23% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.23% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.88% | 18.52I 5.40%NM 5.12% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |