Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aryna Sabalenka v Jaqueline Cristian

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 18:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Prévision 93.71%1.07cote équitable
EV -2.54%
Avantage -2.44%
Kelly -63.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
90.66%93.64%93.82%96.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.001.021.021.04100.00%98.06%98.04%96.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jaqueline Cristian (Visiteur)

Prévision 6.29%15.90cote équitable
EV +57.19%
Avantage +2.29%
Kelly +2.38%
Croissance +1.36%

avec la cote maximale 25.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
3.88%6.36%6.18%9.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
10.0014.2113.0025.0010.00%7.04%7.69%4.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aryna Sabalenka (Local) : 93.71% ; Jaqueline Cristian (Visiteur) : 6.29%. Pour Jaqueline Cristian (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 15.90. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 25.00, soit une espérance positive de +57.19%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +57.19%E +2.29%K +2.38%G +1.36%3.0%2026-03-08 18:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +38.33%E +1.74%K +1.83%G +0.699%3.6%2026-03-08 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +32.04%E +1.53%K +1.60%G +0.513%2.8%2026-03-08 18:15
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.29%E -6.29%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +32.04%E +1.53%K +1.60%G +0.513%4.8%2026-03-08 18:13
Coral🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +19.46%E +1.02%K +1.08%G +0.210%3.3%2026-03-08 18:14
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 94.71%EV -2.54%E -2.44%K -63.48%G +0.000%18.63I 5.37%NM 5.29%EV +17.14%E +0.920%K +0.972%G +0.167%1.5%2026-03-08 17:59
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +13.18%E +0.732%K +0.775%G +0.102%3.6%2026-03-08 18:14
Betway🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +13.18%E +0.732%K +0.775%G +0.102%4.6%2026-03-08 18:15
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +6.89%E +0.405%K +0.431%G +0.030%3.0%2026-03-08 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +6.89%E +0.405%K +0.431%G +0.030%3.9%2026-03-08 18:15
Coolbet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +6.89%E +0.405%K +0.431%G +0.030%4.9%2026-03-08 18:14
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +0.601%E +0.038%K +0.040%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 18:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +0.601%E +0.038%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 17:59
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.82%EV -2.54%E -2.44%K -63.48%G +0.000%15.80I 6.33%NM 6.18%EV -0.657%E -0.042%K -0.044%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-08 18:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -5.69%E -0.379%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -5.69%E -0.379%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 18:14
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.36%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%14.34I 6.97%NM 6.64%EV -9.84%E -0.686%K -0.737%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 18:05
Unibet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 18:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 18:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 18:14
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 18:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 18:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 18:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 18:14
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 18:15
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 18:15
Bet Right🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -18.26%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 18:05
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -18.26%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -18.26%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -18.26%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 18:09
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -18.26%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 18:12
1xBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV -18.89%E -1.46%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 18:00
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -21.41%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -21.41%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -21.41%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -23.79%E -1.96%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -23.79%E -1.96%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:00
Casumo🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -24.55%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -24.55%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 18:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -24.55%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 18:14
Grosvenor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -24.55%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 18:14
TABtouch🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -24.55%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 18:14
Bally Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -24.55%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 18:14
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -27.69%E -2.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 18:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -29.27%E -2.60%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:00
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.54%E -2.44%K -63.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 17:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 18:00
Bet Victor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:13
TAB🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 18:11
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -37.12%E -3.71%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43%0.5%2026-03-08 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04%NM 96.49%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.51%1.6%2026-03-08 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 96.23%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77%1.9%2026-03-08 18:15
Matchbook1.02I 98.04%NM 96.23%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77%1.9%2026-03-08 18:15
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 94.88%18.52I 5.40%NM 5.12%5.4%2026-03-08 18:15