A Escola das Odds

Aryna Sabalenka v Jaqueline Cristian

Início: 2026-03-08 18:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 93.71%1.07odd justa
EV -2.54%
Vantagem -2.44%
Kelly -63.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
90.66%93.64%93.82%96.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.021.021.04100.00%98.06%98.04%96.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jaqueline Cristian (Visitante)

Previsão 6.29%15.90odd justa
EV +57.19%
Vantagem +2.29%
Kelly +2.38%
Crescimento +1.36%

pressupondo odds máximas de 25.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
3.88%6.36%6.18%9.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
10.0014.2113.0025.0010.00%7.04%7.69%4.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betclic (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +57.19%E +2.29%K +2.38%G +1.36%3.0%2026-03-08 18:14
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +38.33%E +1.74%K +1.83%G +0.699%3.6%2026-03-08 18:15
Winamax (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +32.04%E +1.53%K +1.60%G +0.513%2.8%2026-03-08 18:15
Fanatics1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.29%E -6.29%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +32.04%E +1.53%K +1.60%G +0.513%4.8%2026-03-08 18:13
Coral1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +19.46%E +1.02%K +1.08%G +0.210%3.3%2026-03-08 18:14
Pinnacle1.04I 96.15%NM 94.71%EV -2.54%E -2.44%K -63.48%G +0.000%18.63I 5.37%NM 5.29%EV +17.14%E +0.920%K +0.972%G +0.167%1.5%2026-03-08 17:59
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +13.18%E +0.732%K +0.775%G +0.102%3.6%2026-03-08 18:14
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +13.18%E +0.732%K +0.775%G +0.102%4.6%2026-03-08 18:15
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +6.89%E +0.405%K +0.431%G +0.030%3.0%2026-03-08 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +6.89%E +0.405%K +0.431%G +0.030%3.9%2026-03-08 18:15
Coolbet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +6.89%E +0.405%K +0.431%G +0.030%4.9%2026-03-08 18:14
FanDuel1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +0.601%E +0.038%K +0.040%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 18:14
Unibet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +0.601%E +0.038%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 17:59
DraftKings1.04I 96.15%NM 93.82%EV -2.54%E -2.44%K -63.48%G +0.000%15.80I 6.33%NM 6.18%EV -0.657%E -0.042%K -0.044%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-08 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -5.69%E -0.379%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 18:10
Paddy Power1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -5.69%E -0.379%K -0.406%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 18:14
GTbets1.02I 98.04%NM 93.36%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%14.34I 6.97%NM 6.64%EV -9.84%E -0.686%K -0.737%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 18:05
Unibet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 18:14
Unibet (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 18:14
Unibet (NL)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 18:14
betPARX1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 18:14
ATG (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 18:14
Svenska Spel1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 18:15
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 18:14
NordicBet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 18:15
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -11.97%E -0.855%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 18:15
Bet Right1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -18.26%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 18:05
888sport1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -18.26%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 18:09
888sport (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -18.26%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 18:10
Mr Green (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -18.26%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 18:09
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -18.26%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 18:12
1xBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.61%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.39%EV -18.89%E -1.46%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 18:00
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -21.41%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -21.41%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:00
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -21.41%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:15
LowVig.ag1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -23.79%E -1.96%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -23.79%E -1.96%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:00
Casumo1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -24.55%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 18:15
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -24.55%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 18:14
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -24.55%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 18:14
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -24.55%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 18:14
TABtouch1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -24.55%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 18:14
Bally Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -24.55%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 18:14
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -27.69%E -2.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 18:14
Betr (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -29.27%E -2.60%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 18:00
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.54%E -2.44%K -63.48%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 17:59
Codere (IT)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 18:00
PlayUp1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 18:00
Bet Victor1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:13
TAB1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:15
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.41%E -4.33%K -220.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.35%E -5.30%K -535.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -30.84%E -2.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 18:11
SportsBet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -3.48%E -3.37%K -115.87%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -37.12%E -3.71%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 18:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43%0.5%2026-03-08 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04%NM 96.49%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.51%1.6%2026-03-08 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 96.23%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77%1.9%2026-03-08 18:15
Matchbook1.02I 98.04%NM 96.23%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77%1.9%2026-03-08 18:15
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 94.88%18.52I 5.40%NM 5.12%5.4%2026-03-08 18:15