Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina

Início: 2026-03-15 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 58.78%1.70odd justa
EV -0.654%
Vantagem -0.387%
Kelly -0.947%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.67%58.70%58.69%59.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.621.621.6963.69%61.84%61.73%59.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Previsão 41.22%2.43odd justa
EV -1.08%
Vantagem -0.452%
Kelly -0.774%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.05%41.30%41.31%43.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.312.302.4045.45%43.32%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 58.78%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 41.22%. Para Aryna Sabalenka (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.70. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.69, com valor esperado de -0.654%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -0.654%E -0.387%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -8.91%E -4.03%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 17:55
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.83%E -1.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 09:00
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.08%E -0.452%K -0.774%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-15 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 17:55
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:54
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -6.85%E -3.03%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 17:45
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 16:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 08:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 11:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.38%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:04
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 17:55
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:29
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:28
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.91%E -0.802%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.91%E -0.802%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 17:53
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 07:35
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 16:40
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.56%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 14:54
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 14:54
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 16:09
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 15:10
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 17:20
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 06:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.62%E -2.45%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 17:50
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.44%E -2.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 17:35
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:55
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 19:40
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:54
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 06:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -6.44%E -2.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 06:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 11:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:44
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.53%E -4.11%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 15:30
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -5.62%E -2.45%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 16:40
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 00:30
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 16:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-15 17:55
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-15 17:55
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-03-15 17:55
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-03-15 17:55