La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Predicción 58.78%1.70momio equitativo
EV -0.654%
Ventaja -0.387%
Kelly -0.947%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.67%58.70%58.69%59.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.621.621.6963.69%61.84%61.73%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Elena Rybakina (Visitante)
Predicción 41.22%2.43momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.452%
Kelly -0.774%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.05%41.30%41.31%43.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.312.302.4045.45%43.32%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -0.654%E -0.387%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -8.91%E -4.03%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 17:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.83%E -1.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 09:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.08%E -0.452%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-15 17:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 17:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-15 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-15 17:55 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 17:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -6.85%E -3.03%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 17:45 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-15 08:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.38%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 17:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 17:55 |
| Betsson | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 00:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 00:28 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.91%E -0.802%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.91%E -0.802%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 17:53 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 07:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.56%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 14:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 14:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 16:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 15:10 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 06:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.62%E -2.45%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 17:50 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.44%E -2.84%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 17:35 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 17:55 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Casumo | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| betPARX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 06:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -6.44%E -2.84%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 06:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 17:44 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.53%E -4.11%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -5.62%E -2.45%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 17:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-03-15 17:55 |
| Novig | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-03-15 17:55 |