La scuola delle quote

Aryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina

Inizio: 2026-03-15 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Casa)

Previsione 58.78%1.70quota equa
EV -0.654%
Vantaggio -0.387%
Kelly -0.947%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.67%58.70%58.69%59.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.621.621.6963.69%61.84%61.73%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elena Rybakina (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.22%2.43quota equa
EV -1.08%
Vantaggio -0.452%
Kelly -0.774%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.05%41.30%41.31%43.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.312.302.4045.45%43.32%43.48%41.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -0.654%E -0.387%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -8.91%E -4.03%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 17:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.83%E -1.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 09:00
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.08%E -0.452%K -0.774%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-15 17:35
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 17:49
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 17:55
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:54
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -6.85%E -3.03%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 17:45
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 08:19
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 11:05
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.38%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:04
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 17:55
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:29
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:28
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 17:55
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.91%E -0.802%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 17:55
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.91%E -0.802%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 17:53
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 07:35
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 16:40
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.56%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 14:54
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 14:54
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 16:09
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 15:10
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 17:20
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 06:30
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.62%E -2.45%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 17:50
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.44%E -2.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 17:35
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:55
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 19:40
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:54
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 06:20
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -6.44%E -2.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 06:05
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 11:05
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 16:55
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:44
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.53%E -4.11%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 15:30
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -5.62%E -2.45%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 16:40
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 00:30
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 16:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-15 17:55
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-15 17:55
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-03-15 17:55
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-03-15 17:55