StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-15 18:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka (Heim)

Prognose 58.78%1.70faire Quote
EV -0.654%
Vorteil -0.387%
Kelly -0.947%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.69

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.67%58.70%58.69%59.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.571.621.621.6963.69%61.84%61.73%59.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Elena Rybakina (Auswärts)

Prognose 41.22%2.43faire Quote
EV -1.08%
Vorteil -0.452%
Kelly -0.774%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.05%41.30%41.31%43.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.202.312.302.4045.45%43.32%43.48%41.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Aryna Sabalenka (Heim): 58.78%; Elena Rybakina (Auswärts): 41.22%. Für Aryna Sabalenka (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.70. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 1.69, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.654%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -0.654%E -0.387%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -8.91%E -4.03%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 17:55
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.83%E -1.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 09:00
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.08%E -0.452%K -0.774%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-15 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 17:55
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:54
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -6.85%E -3.03%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 17:45
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 16:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 08:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.97%E -1.70%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 11:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.38%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 17:04
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 17:55
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:29
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:28
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.91%E -0.802%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.91%E -0.802%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 17:53
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 07:35
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 16:40
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.56%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 14:54
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 14:54
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 16:09
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 15:10
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 17:20
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 06:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.62%E -2.45%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 17:50
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.44%E -2.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 17:35
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:55
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 19:40
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:54
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 06:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -6.44%E -2.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 06:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 11:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:44
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.53%E -4.11%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 15:30
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -5.62%E -2.45%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 16:40
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.12%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 00:30
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 16:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-15 17:55
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-15 17:55
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-03-15 17:55
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-03-15 17:55