Language:English
Anastasia Potapova v Marina Stakusic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anastasia Potapova (Local)
Prediction 35.87%2.79fair odd
EV +29.14%
Edge +8.09%
Kelly +11.21%
Growth +3.27%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%36.83%34.05%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.582.633.6053.19%38.71%38.02%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marina Stakusic (Visit)
Prediction 64.13%1.56fair odd
EV +22.48%
Edge +11.77%
Kelly +24.71%
Growth +5.56%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%63.17%65.95%74.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.551.431.9180.00%64.51%69.93%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anastasia Potapova (Local): 35.87%; Marina Stakusic (Visit): 64.13%. For Anastasia Potapova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. 28 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +29.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -31.48%E -16.48%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +22.48%E +11.77%K +24.71%G +5.56% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 20:02 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -28.61%E -14.38%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV +21.84%E +11.50%K +24.27%G +5.30% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -31.48%E -16.48%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +20.56%E +10.94%K +23.36%G +4.80% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 19:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -32.56%E -17.32%K -37.00%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +20.56%E +10.94%K +23.36%G +4.80% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 19:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -30.77%E -15.94%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +19.92%E +10.65%K +22.89%G +4.56% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 19:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -30.77%E -15.94%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +19.92%E +10.65%K +22.89%G +4.56% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 20:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -31.84%E -16.76%K -35.38%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +19.92%E +10.65%K +22.89%G +4.56% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -29.69%E -15.15%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +19.28%E +10.36%K +22.42%G +4.32% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -29.69%E -15.15%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +19.28%E +10.36%K +22.42%G +4.32% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -30.41%E -15.67%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV +19.28%E +10.36%K +22.42%G +4.32% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -31.48%E -16.48%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV +19.28%E +10.36%K +22.42%G +4.32% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 20:03 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -29.69%E -15.15%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV +18.64%E +10.07%K +21.92%G +4.09% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:01 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -31.48%E -16.48%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +17.35%E +9.48%K +20.91%G +3.63% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -32.56%E -17.32%K -37.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV +17.35%E +9.48%K +20.91%G +3.63% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:02 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -32.56%E -17.32%K -37.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV +17.35%E +9.48%K +20.91%G +3.63% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:02 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -27.54%E -13.63%K -27.00%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +16.71%E +9.18%K +20.38%G +3.41% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -30.05%E -15.41%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV +16.71%E +9.18%K +20.38%G +3.41% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -32.56%E -17.32%K -37.00%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV +16.71%E +9.18%K +20.38%G +3.41% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 19:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -28.97%E -14.63%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV +15.43%E +8.57%K +19.29%G +2.98% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -26.46%E -12.91%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV +10.94%E +6.32%K +14.99%G +1.64% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -17.49%E -7.61%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +5.81%E +3.52%K +8.94%G +0.519% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 20:13 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -22.87%E -10.64%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV +3.89%E +2.40%K +6.27%G +0.244% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -15.70%E -6.68%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV +3.25%E +2.02%K +5.32%G +0.173% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 20:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -15.70%E -6.68%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -1.24%E -0.807%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 20:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.91%E -5.79%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.88%E -1.23%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.53%E -1.66%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.14%E -1.16%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.73%E -3.90%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.66%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.01%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.01%E -2.30%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.01%E -2.30%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.24%E +0.785%K +1.21%G +0.027% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.24%E +0.785%K +1.21%G +0.027% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.24%E +0.785%K +1.21%G +0.027% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +4.03%E +1.39%K +2.12%G +0.085% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.94%E -6.29%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +4.03%E +1.39%K +2.12%G +0.085% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.94%E -6.29%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +0.443%E +0.158%K +0.246%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.94%E -6.29%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +0.443%E +0.158%K +0.246%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.94%E -6.29%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.35%E -0.491%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.94%E -6.29%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 20:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.50%EV -7.45%E -2.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.50%EV -8.94%E -6.29%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 20:13 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.03%E +1.39%K +2.12%G +0.085% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.03%E +1.39%K +2.12%G +0.085% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +2.24%E +0.785%K +1.21%G +0.027% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +2.24%E +0.785%K +1.21%G +0.027% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +2.24%E +0.785%K +1.21%G +0.027% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +0.443%E +0.158%K +0.246%G +0.001% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -11.50%E -8.34%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +7.62%E +2.54%K +3.81%G +0.290% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -12.79%E -9.40%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +14.79%E +4.62%K +6.72%G +0.995% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -13.43%E -9.95%K -38.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV +4.03%E +1.39%K +2.12%G +0.085% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -14.07%E -10.50%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +20.17%E +6.02%K +8.58%G +1.73% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -14.71%E -11.06%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +18.38%E +5.57%K +7.99%G +1.47% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -14.71%E -11.06%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +16.59%E +5.10%K +7.37%G +1.22% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -14.71%E -11.06%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +16.59%E +5.10%K +7.37%G +1.22% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -14.71%E -11.06%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +14.79%E +4.62%K +6.72%G +0.995% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -14.71%E -11.06%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +7.62%E +2.54%K +3.81%G +0.290% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -14.71%E -11.06%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +14.79%E +4.62%K +6.72%G +0.995% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -15.35%E -11.63%K -47.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.14%EV +25.19%E +7.22%K +10.12%G +2.55% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.86%EV -16.63%E -12.80%K -55.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV +21.97%E +6.46%K +9.15%G +2.01% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -17.92%E -14.00%K -63.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +25.55%E +7.30%K +10.22%G +2.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -18.56%E -14.61%K -68.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +25.55%E +7.30%K +10.22%G +2.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -18.56%E -14.61%K -68.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +29.14%E +8.09%K +11.21%G +3.27% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -19.84%E -15.87%K -79.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 1.7% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |