L’École des cotes

Anastasia Potapova v Marina Stakusic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 20:16 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Anastasia Potapova (Local)

Prévision 35.87%2.79cote équitable
EV +29.14%
Avantage +8.09%
Kelly +11.21%
Croissance +3.27%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.77%36.83%34.05%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.582.633.6053.19%38.71%38.02%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Marina Stakusic (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.13%1.56cote équitable
EV +22.48%
Avantage +11.77%
Kelly +24.71%
Croissance +5.56%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%63.17%65.95%74.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.551.431.9180.00%64.51%69.93%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -31.48%E -16.48%K -34.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +22.48%E +11.77%K +24.71%G +5.56%4.7%2026-03-04 20:02
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -28.61%E -14.38%K -28.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV +21.84%E +11.50%K +24.27%G +5.30%2.9%2026-03-04 20:05
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -31.48%E -16.48%K -34.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +20.56%E +10.94%K +23.36%G +4.80%5.5%2026-03-04 19:54
Everygame1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -32.56%E -17.32%K -37.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +20.56%E +10.94%K +23.36%G +4.80%6.4%2026-03-04 19:59
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -30.77%E -15.94%K -33.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +19.92%E +10.65%K +22.89%G +4.56%5.3%2026-03-04 19:59
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -30.77%E -15.94%K -33.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +19.92%E +10.65%K +22.89%G +4.56%5.3%2026-03-04 20:03
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -31.84%E -16.76%K -35.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +19.92%E +10.65%K +22.89%G +4.56%6.1%2026-03-04 20:04
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -29.69%E -15.15%K -30.93%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +19.28%E +10.36%K +22.42%G +4.32%4.8%2026-03-04 20:05
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -29.69%E -15.15%K -30.93%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +19.28%E +10.36%K +22.42%G +4.32%4.8%2026-03-04 20:05
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -30.41%E -15.67%K -32.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV +19.28%E +10.36%K +22.42%G +4.32%5.3%2026-03-04 20:05
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -31.48%E -16.48%K -34.60%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV +19.28%E +10.36%K +22.42%G +4.32%6.1%2026-03-04 20:03
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -29.69%E -15.15%K -30.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV +18.64%E +10.07%K +21.92%G +4.09%5.1%2026-03-04 20:01
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -31.48%E -16.48%K -34.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +17.35%E +9.48%K +20.91%G +3.63%7.0%2026-03-04 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -32.56%E -17.32%K -37.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV +17.35%E +9.48%K +20.91%G +3.63%7.8%2026-03-04 20:02
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -32.56%E -17.32%K -37.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV +17.35%E +9.48%K +20.91%G +3.63%7.8%2026-03-04 20:02
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -27.54%E -13.63%K -27.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +16.71%E +9.18%K +20.38%G +3.41%4.5%2026-03-04 19:59
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -30.05%E -15.41%K -31.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV +16.71%E +9.18%K +20.38%G +3.41%6.2%2026-03-04 20:05
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -32.56%E -17.32%K -37.00%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV +16.71%E +9.18%K +20.38%G +3.41%8.1%2026-03-04 19:59
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -28.97%E -14.63%K -29.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV +15.43%E +8.57%K +19.29%G +2.98%6.1%2026-03-04 20:05
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -26.46%E -12.91%K -25.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV +10.94%E +6.32%K +14.99%G +1.64%6.6%2026-03-04 20:10
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -17.49%E -7.61%K -13.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +5.81%E +3.52%K +8.94%G +0.519%4.1%2026-03-04 20:13
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -22.87%E -10.64%K -19.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV +3.89%E +2.40%K +6.27%G +0.244%8.2%2026-03-04 20:10
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -15.70%E -6.68%K -11.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV +3.25%E +2.02%K +5.32%G +0.173%4.7%2026-03-04 20:13
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -15.70%E -6.68%K -11.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -1.24%E -0.807%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 20:13
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.91%E -5.79%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.88%E -1.23%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:11
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.53%E -1.66%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 20:15
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.14%E -1.16%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.73%E -3.90%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:15
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.66%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.01%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.01%E -2.30%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 20:15
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.01%E -2.30%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 20:15
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.24%E +0.785%K +1.21%G +0.027%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 20:15
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.24%E +0.785%K +1.21%G +0.027%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 20:15
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.24%E +0.785%K +1.21%G +0.027%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 20:15
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +4.03%E +1.39%K +2.12%G +0.085%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.94%E -6.29%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 20:15
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +4.03%E +1.39%K +2.12%G +0.085%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.94%E -6.29%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 20:15
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +0.443%E +0.158%K +0.246%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.94%E -6.29%K -21.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 20:15
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +0.443%E +0.158%K +0.246%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.94%E -6.29%K -21.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 20:15
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.35%E -0.491%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.94%E -6.29%K -21.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 20:14
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 35.50%EV -7.45%E -2.89%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.50%EV -8.94%E -6.29%K -21.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 20:13
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.03%E +1.39%K +2.12%G +0.085%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 20:15
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.03%E +1.39%K +2.12%G +0.085%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 20:15
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +2.24%E +0.785%K +1.21%G +0.027%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 20:15
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +2.24%E +0.785%K +1.21%G +0.027%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 20:15
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +2.24%E +0.785%K +1.21%G +0.027%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 20:15
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +0.443%E +0.158%K +0.246%G +0.001%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -11.50%E -8.34%K -30.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 20:15
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +7.62%E +2.54%K +3.81%G +0.290%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -12.79%E -9.40%K -35.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 20:15
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +14.79%E +4.62%K +6.72%G +0.995%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -13.43%E -9.95%K -38.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 20:15
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV +4.03%E +1.39%K +2.12%G +0.085%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -14.07%E -10.50%K -41.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 20:15
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +20.17%E +6.02%K +8.58%G +1.73%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -14.71%E -11.06%K -44.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 20:15
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +18.38%E +5.57%K +7.99%G +1.47%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -14.71%E -11.06%K -44.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 20:15
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +16.59%E +5.10%K +7.37%G +1.22%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -14.71%E -11.06%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 20:15
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +16.59%E +5.10%K +7.37%G +1.22%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -14.71%E -11.06%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 20:15
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +14.79%E +4.62%K +6.72%G +0.995%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -14.71%E -11.06%K -44.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 20:15
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +7.62%E +2.54%K +3.81%G +0.290%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -14.71%E -11.06%K -44.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 20:15
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +14.79%E +4.62%K +6.72%G +0.995%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -15.35%E -11.63%K -47.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:15
DraftKings3.49I 28.65%NM 27.14%EV +25.19%E +7.22%K +10.12%G +2.55%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.86%EV -16.63%E -12.80%K -55.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 20:15
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV +21.97%E +6.46%K +9.15%G +2.01%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -17.92%E -14.00%K -63.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 20:15
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +25.55%E +7.30%K +10.22%G +2.61%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -18.56%E -14.61%K -68.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 20:15
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +25.55%E +7.30%K +10.22%G +2.61%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -18.56%E -14.61%K -68.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 20:15
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +29.14%E +8.09%K +11.21%G +3.27%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -19.84%E -15.87%K -79.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 20:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-03-04 20:15
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%1.7%2026-03-04 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%4.2%2026-03-04 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%5.5%2026-03-04 20:15