La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Anastasia Potapova v Marina Stakusic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Anastasia Potapova (Local)
Predicción 35.87%2.79momio equitativo
EV +29.14%
Ventaja +8.09%
Kelly +11.21%
Crecimiento +3.27%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.77%36.83%34.05%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.582.633.6053.19%38.71%38.02%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Marina Stakusic (Visitante)
Predicción 64.13%1.56momio equitativo
EV +22.48%
Ventaja +11.77%
Kelly +24.71%
Crecimiento +5.56%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%63.17%65.95%74.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.551.431.9180.00%64.51%69.93%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -31.48%E -16.48%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +22.48%E +11.77%K +24.71%G +5.56% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 20:02 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -28.61%E -14.38%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV +21.84%E +11.50%K +24.27%G +5.30% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -31.48%E -16.48%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV +20.56%E +10.94%K +23.36%G +4.80% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 19:54 |
| Everygame | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -32.56%E -17.32%K -37.00%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +20.56%E +10.94%K +23.36%G +4.80% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 19:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -30.77%E -15.94%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +19.92%E +10.65%K +22.89%G +4.56% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 19:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -30.77%E -15.94%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV +19.92%E +10.65%K +22.89%G +4.56% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 20:03 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -31.84%E -16.76%K -35.38%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV +19.92%E +10.65%K +22.89%G +4.56% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -29.69%E -15.15%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +19.28%E +10.36%K +22.42%G +4.32% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -29.69%E -15.15%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +19.28%E +10.36%K +22.42%G +4.32% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -30.41%E -15.67%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV +19.28%E +10.36%K +22.42%G +4.32% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -31.48%E -16.48%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV +19.28%E +10.36%K +22.42%G +4.32% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 20:03 |
| GTbets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -29.69%E -15.15%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV +18.64%E +10.07%K +21.92%G +4.09% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:01 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -31.48%E -16.48%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +17.35%E +9.48%K +20.91%G +3.63% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -32.56%E -17.32%K -37.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV +17.35%E +9.48%K +20.91%G +3.63% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:02 |
| Neds | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -32.56%E -17.32%K -37.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV +17.35%E +9.48%K +20.91%G +3.63% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:02 |
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -27.54%E -13.63%K -27.00%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +16.71%E +9.18%K +20.38%G +3.41% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -30.05%E -15.41%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV +16.71%E +9.18%K +20.38%G +3.41% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -32.56%E -17.32%K -37.00%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV +16.71%E +9.18%K +20.38%G +3.41% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 19:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -28.97%E -14.63%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV +15.43%E +8.57%K +19.29%G +2.98% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 20:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -26.46%E -12.91%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV +10.94%E +6.32%K +14.99%G +1.64% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -17.49%E -7.61%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +5.81%E +3.52%K +8.94%G +0.519% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 20:13 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -22.87%E -10.64%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV +3.89%E +2.40%K +6.27%G +0.244% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 20:10 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -15.70%E -6.68%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV +3.25%E +2.02%K +5.32%G +0.173% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 20:13 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -15.70%E -6.68%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -1.24%E -0.807%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 20:13 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.91%E -5.79%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -1.88%E -1.23%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:11 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.53%E -1.66%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.14%E -1.16%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.73%E -3.90%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.66%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.01%E -4.84%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.01%E -2.30%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.01%E -2.30%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.66%E -5.32%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.24%E +0.785%K +1.21%G +0.027% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Casumo | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.24%E +0.785%K +1.21%G +0.027% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| betPARX | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.24%E +0.785%K +1.21%G +0.027% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -6.73%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -8.30%E -5.80%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +4.03%E +1.39%K +2.12%G +0.085% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.94%E -6.29%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +4.03%E +1.39%K +2.12%G +0.085% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.94%E -6.29%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +0.443%E +0.158%K +0.246%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.94%E -6.29%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Bally Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +0.443%E +0.158%K +0.246%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.94%E -6.29%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Caesars | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.35%E -0.491%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.94%E -6.29%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 20:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.50%EV -7.45%E -2.89%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.50%EV -8.94%E -6.29%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 20:13 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.03%E +1.39%K +2.12%G +0.085% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Betsson | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.03%E +1.39%K +2.12%G +0.085% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +2.24%E +0.785%K +1.21%G +0.027% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +2.24%E +0.785%K +1.21%G +0.027% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +2.24%E +0.785%K +1.21%G +0.027% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.22%E -7.30%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +0.443%E +0.158%K +0.246%G +0.001% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -11.50%E -8.34%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +7.62%E +2.54%K +3.81%G +0.290% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -12.79%E -9.40%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Coolbet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +14.79%E +4.62%K +6.72%G +0.995% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -13.43%E -9.95%K -38.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Fliff | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV +4.03%E +1.39%K +2.12%G +0.085% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -14.07%E -10.50%K -41.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +20.17%E +6.02%K +8.58%G +1.73% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -14.71%E -11.06%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +18.38%E +5.57%K +7.99%G +1.47% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -14.71%E -11.06%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +16.59%E +5.10%K +7.37%G +1.22% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -14.71%E -11.06%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +16.59%E +5.10%K +7.37%G +1.22% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -14.71%E -11.06%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +14.79%E +4.62%K +6.72%G +0.995% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -14.71%E -11.06%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV +7.62%E +2.54%K +3.81%G +0.290% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -14.71%E -11.06%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| TAB | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +14.79%E +4.62%K +6.72%G +0.995% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -15.35%E -11.63%K -47.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| DraftKings | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.14%EV +25.19%E +7.22%K +10.12%G +2.55% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.86%EV -16.63%E -12.80%K -55.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV +21.97%E +6.46%K +9.15%G +2.01% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -17.92%E -14.00%K -63.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +25.55%E +7.30%K +10.22%G +2.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -18.56%E -14.61%K -68.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +25.55%E +7.30%K +10.22%G +2.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -18.56%E -14.61%K -68.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +29.14%E +8.09%K +11.21%G +3.27% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -19.84%E -15.87%K -79.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Smarkets | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 1.7% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 20:15 |