Language:English
Ajla Tomljanovic v Jasmine Paolini
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ajla Tomljanovic (Local)
Prediction 38.64%2.59fair odd
EV +2.78%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.047%
assuming max odds 2.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.94%38.66%38.12%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.462.502.6645.45%40.68%40.00%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jasmine Paolini (Visit)
Prediction 61.36%1.63fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%61.34%61.88%64.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.531.531.6068.03%65.40%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ajla Tomljanovic (Local): 38.64%; Jasmine Paolini (Visit): 61.36%. For Ajla Tomljanovic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV +2.78%E +1.05%K +1.67%G +0.047% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV +2.01%E +0.760%K +1.22%G +0.025% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV +1.23%E +0.471%K +0.762%G +0.009% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV +1.23%E +0.471%K +0.762%G +0.009% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV +1.23%E +0.471%K +0.762%G +0.009% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -9.80%E -6.67%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 20:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV +0.848%E +0.325%K +0.527%G +0.004% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -8.57%E -5.75%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 20:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.462%E +0.178%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 20:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.462%E +0.178%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.462%E +0.178%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -0.697%E -0.271%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -9.19%E -6.21%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -0.697%E -0.271%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -9.80%E -6.67%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 20:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 20:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.57%E -5.75%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 20:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.57%E -5.75%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.02%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 20:48 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 20:03 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.33%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.33%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 20:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.33%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.33%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 20:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -6.88%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.27%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.66%E -2.33%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.27%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.27%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.27%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.27%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.27%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.89%E -3.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.27%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.19%E -6.21%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.04%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.20%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.82%E -1.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.20%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.20%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.89%E -3.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.20%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.89%E -3.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.36%E -4.46%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.13%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.44%E -1.53%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 20:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.13%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.44%E -1.53%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.13%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.66%E -2.33%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.13%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.66%E -2.33%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.13%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.66%E -2.33%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.13%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.66%E -2.33%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.13%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.26%EV -12.29%E -5.41%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -13.06%E -5.81%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -14.99%E -6.82%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.47% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |