La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ajla Tomljanovic v Jasmine Paolini
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ajla Tomljanovic (Local)
Predicción 38.64%2.59momio equitativo
EV +2.78%
Ventaja +1.05%
Kelly +1.67%
Crecimiento +0.047%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.94%38.66%38.12%41.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.462.502.6645.45%40.68%40.00%37.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jasmine Paolini (Visitante)
Predicción 61.36%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -3.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.82%61.34%61.88%64.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.531.531.6068.03%65.40%65.36%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV +2.78%E +1.05%K +1.67%G +0.047% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 20:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV +2.01%E +0.760%K +1.22%G +0.025% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV +1.23%E +0.471%K +0.762%G +0.009% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV +1.23%E +0.471%K +0.762%G +0.009% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV +1.23%E +0.471%K +0.762%G +0.009% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -9.80%E -6.67%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 20:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV +0.848%E +0.325%K +0.527%G +0.004% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -8.57%E -5.75%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 20:44 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.462%E +0.178%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 20:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.462%E +0.178%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.462%E +0.178%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -0.697%E -0.271%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -9.19%E -6.21%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -0.697%E -0.271%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -9.80%E -6.67%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 20:05 |
| Bally Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 20:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| GTbets | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.57%E -5.75%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 20:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.47%E -0.577%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.57%E -5.75%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.02%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 20:48 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 20:03 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.73%E -4.43%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:39 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:48 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.33%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.33%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 20:05 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.33%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.33%E -2.18%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.96%E -5.31%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 20:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -6.88%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Unibet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.27%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.66%E -2.33%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.27%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.27%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| betPARX | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.27%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.27%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Betsson | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.27%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.89%E -3.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Fliff | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.27%E -3.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.19%E -6.21%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.04%E -3.38%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.20%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.82%E -1.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.20%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.20%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.89%E -3.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.20%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.89%E -3.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.36%E -4.46%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Caesars | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.13%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.44%E -1.53%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 20:48 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.13%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.44%E -1.53%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.13%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.66%E -2.33%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.13%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.66%E -2.33%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.13%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.66%E -2.33%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.13%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.66%E -2.33%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.13%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.26%EV -12.29%E -5.41%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -6.12%E -4.00%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -13.06%E -5.81%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -4.28%E -2.74%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -14.99%E -6.82%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 20:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |
| Novig | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.47% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 20:50 |