Language:English
Ajla Tomljanovic v Elena Gabriela Ruse
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ajla Tomljanovic (Local)
Prediction 46.21%2.16fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%46.25%46.29%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.022.1051.28%49.08%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visit)
Prediction 53.79%1.86fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -3.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.75%53.71%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.771.8158.82%56.62%56.50%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ajla Tomljanovic (Local): 46.21%; Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visit): 53.79%. For Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.81, with an expected value of -2.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -2.64%E -1.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 20:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.40%E -3.68%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.42%E -1.64%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.25%E -2.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.42%E -1.64%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.25%E -2.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 20:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -6.40%E -3.68%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 20:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.81%E -2.33%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.25%E -2.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.40%E -3.68%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.56%E -5.03%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.73%E -2.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -6.19%E -3.05%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.40%E -3.68%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:43 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -8.50%E -4.30%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -8.50%E -4.30%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -8.97%E -4.55%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06% | 2.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |