A Escola das Odds

Ajla Tomljanovic v Elena Gabriela Ruse

Início: 2026-03-04 20:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ajla Tomljanovic (Local)

Previsão 46.21%2.16odd justa
EV -2.96%
Vantagem -1.41%
Kelly -2.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.17%46.25%46.29%48.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.042.022.1051.28%49.08%49.50%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visitante)

Previsão 53.79%1.86odd justa
EV -2.64%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -3.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.75%53.71%54.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.771.771.8158.82%56.62%56.50%55.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -2.64%E -1.46%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 20:45
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-04 20:45
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 20:44
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 20:45
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.40%E -3.68%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:45
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:44
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:45
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:45
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:45
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:45
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.42%E -1.64%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.25%E -2.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 20:45
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.42%E -1.64%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.25%E -2.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 20:45
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 20:44
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -6.40%E -3.68%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 20:44
GTbets2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.81%E -2.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 20:45
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 20:45
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 20:45
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.25%E -2.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 20:45
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 20:45
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 20:45
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 20:45
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 20:45
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 20:45
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 20:45
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 20:45
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.40%E -3.68%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 20:45
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.56%E -5.03%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 20:45
PointsBet (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.73%E -2.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 20:45
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -6.19%E -3.05%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 20:45
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:45
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:45
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:45
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:45
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:45
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:45
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:45
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:45
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:45
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:45
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:45
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:45
Unibet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 20:45
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 20:45
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 20:45
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 20:45
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 20:44
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 20:45
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.40%E -3.68%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 20:45
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 20:43
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 20:45
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 20:45
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 20:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 20:45
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -8.50%E -4.30%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 20:45
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -8.50%E -4.30%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 20:45
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -8.97%E -4.55%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 20:45
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 20:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-03-04 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-03-04 20:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-03-04 20:45
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.4%2026-03-04 20:45