La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ajla Tomljanovic v Elena Gabriela Ruse
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ajla Tomljanovic (Local)
Predicción 46.21%2.16momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -2.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.17%46.25%46.29%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.042.022.1051.28%49.08%49.50%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visitante)
Predicción 53.79%1.86momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -3.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.75%53.71%54.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.771.8158.82%56.62%56.50%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -2.64%E -1.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 20:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.40%E -3.68%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:44 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.42%E -1.64%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.25%E -2.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.42%E -1.64%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.25%E -2.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 20:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -6.40%E -3.68%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 20:44 |
| GTbets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.81%E -2.33%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.25%E -2.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.40%E -3.68%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.56%E -5.03%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.73%E -2.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -6.19%E -3.05%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Bally Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.72%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.40%E -3.68%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:43 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -8.50%E -4.30%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -8.50%E -4.30%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -8.97%E -4.55%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.18%E -1.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06% | 2.4% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |