Language:English
Zeynep Sonmez v Iva Jović
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zeynep Sonmez (Local)
Prediction 23.49%4.26fair odd
EV -0.181%
Edge -0.043%
Kelly -0.056%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.30%23.38%23.66%25.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.984.004.2527.78%25.16%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iva Jović (Visit)
Prediction 76.51%1.31fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -10.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.07%76.62%76.34%77.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.241.2783.33%80.79%80.65%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zeynep Sonmez (Local): 23.49%; Iva Jović (Visit): 76.51%. For Zeynep Sonmez (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.25, with an expected value of -0.181%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.181%E -0.043%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-16 20:11 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 23.05%EV -0.416%E -0.098%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.95%EV -2.83%E -2.23%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 20:21 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.36%E -0.323%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-16 20:41 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.36%E -0.323%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 20:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.36%E -0.323%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 19:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23%EV -3.00%E -0.726%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 20:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23%EV -3.00%E -0.726%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 20:21 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.70%E -0.903%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 11:11 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.70%E -0.903%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.89%E -4.79%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 20:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -4.88%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.59%E -2.85%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 19:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 03:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 03:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 20:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 20:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 03:41 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 03:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 20:16 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 20:11 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 20:11 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.89%E -4.79%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-16 19:41 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 17:06 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 19:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.18%E -6.82%K -40.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 17:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.23%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.74%EV -7.93%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.26%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-16 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-16 05:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.58%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 20:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -9.58%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -8.18%E -6.82%K -40.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-16 20:16 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.12%E -4.13%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 07:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 05:26 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 05:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -7.42%E -6.13%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 16:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 12:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.65%E -5.45%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 12:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.42%E -6.13%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-16 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -15.45%E -4.29%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.59%E -2.85%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 05:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -15.45%E -4.29%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.59%E -2.85%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 05:26 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-16 20:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-16 20:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-16 20:06 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-16 19:41 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.45I 22.47%NM 22.20% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.80% | 1.2% | 2026-09-16 20:16 |
| Novig◎ | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.11% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.89% | 1.9% | 2026-09-16 20:16 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01% | 3.4% | 2026-09-16 20:30 |