Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Zeynep Sonmez v Iva Jović

2026-09-16 18:00 UTC — WTA Guadalajara Open

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Zeynep Sonmez (Local)

Predicción 20.82%4.80momio equitativo
EV +4.08%
Ventaja +0.815%
Kelly +1.02%
Crecimiento +0.042%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.09%20.97%20.69%24.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.854.454.535.0025.97%22.45%22.08%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Iva Jović (Visitante)

Predicción 79.18%1.26momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.815%
Kelly -4.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.49%79.03%79.31%80.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.131.191.201.2588.50%83.88%83.33%80.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Zeynep Sonmez (Local): 20.82%; Iva Jović (Visitante): 79.18%. Para Zeynep Sonmez (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.80. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 5.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +4.08%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +4.08%E +0.815%K +1.02%G +0.042%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.56%E -5.56%K -36.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 08:05
BoyleSports🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.087%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 06:31
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.17%E -0.461%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.56%E -5.56%K -36.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 07:25
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.17%E -0.461%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.56%E -5.56%K -36.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 07:25
NordicBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.17%E -0.461%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.56%E -5.56%K -36.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 07:25
1xBet🎯4.66I 21.46%NM 20.61%EV -3.00%E -0.644%K -0.820%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.39%EV -4.19%E -3.46%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 07:35
SportsBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -3.21%E -0.690%K -0.879%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -7.35%E -6.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 06:25
Fanatics🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:00
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:23
Coolbet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:35
Marathon Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.77%E -4.85%K -30.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 07:25
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.35%E -6.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 06:31
Betr (AU)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -5.29%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.77%E -4.85%K -30.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 06:30
GTbets🎯4.53I 22.08%NM 19.96%EV -5.71%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.04%EV -10.52%E -9.31%K -80.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 07:25
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.39%E -2.78%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 06:44
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 07:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.77%E -4.85%K -30.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 06:31
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.56%E -5.56%K -36.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 06:25
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.35%E -6.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 07:25
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.35%E -6.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 06:25
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.35%E -6.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 06:25
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -8.15%E -7.02%K -50.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 07:46
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 07:46
LeoVegas🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.56%E -5.56%K -36.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 07:25
Betclic (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.35%E -6.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 07:59
DraftKings🎯4.32I 23.15%NM 22.02%EV -10.08%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -3.39%E -2.78%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 06:45
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -10.49%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -7.35%E -6.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 07:25
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.58%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.39%E -2.78%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:11
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.58%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.39%E -2.78%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.58%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.39%E -2.78%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:11
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.58%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.39%E -2.78%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:10
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.58%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.56%E -5.56%K -36.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 07:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.58%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.56%E -5.56%K -36.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 07:45
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.58%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -8.15%E -7.02%K -50.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-15 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -14.66%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.39%E -2.78%K -15.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 07:45
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -14.66%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.39%E -2.78%K -15.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 07:46
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 07:31
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 07:30
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -8.94%E -7.77%K -59.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 07:25
Unibet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -8.94%E -7.77%K -59.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 07:25
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -19.86%E -5.16%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -1.02%E -0.815%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 06:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig4.08I 24.51%NM 22.14%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.86%10.7%2026-09-15 07:45
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%12.7%2026-09-15 07:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.42%1.19I 84.03%NM 72.58%15.8%2026-09-15 07:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.42%1.19I 84.03%NM 72.58%15.8%2026-09-15 07:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.42%1.19I 84.03%NM 72.58%15.8%2026-09-15 07:41