Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Zeynep Sonmez v Iva Jović

2026-09-16 18:00 UTC — WTA Guadalajara Open

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Zeynep Sonmez (Local)

Prévision 20.82%4.80cote équitable
EV +4.08%
Avantage +0.815%
Kelly +1.02%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.09%20.97%20.69%24.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.454.535.0025.97%22.45%22.08%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Iva Jović (Visiteur)

Prévision 79.18%1.26cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.815%
Kelly -4.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.49%79.03%79.31%80.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.131.191.201.2588.50%83.88%83.33%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Zeynep Sonmez (Local) : 20.82% ; Iva Jović (Visiteur) : 79.18%. Pour Zeynep Sonmez (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.80. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.00, pour une espérance positive de +4.08%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +4.08%E +0.815%K +1.02%G +0.042%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.56%E -5.56%K -36.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 08:05
BoyleSports🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.087%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 06:31
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.17%E -0.461%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.56%E -5.56%K -36.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 07:25
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.17%E -0.461%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.56%E -5.56%K -36.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 07:25
NordicBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.17%E -0.461%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.56%E -5.56%K -36.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 07:25
1xBet🎯4.66I 21.46%NM 20.61%EV -3.00%E -0.644%K -0.820%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.39%EV -4.19%E -3.46%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 07:35
SportsBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -3.21%E -0.690%K -0.879%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -7.35%E -6.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 06:25
Fanatics🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:00
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:23
Coolbet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:35
Marathon Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.77%E -4.85%K -30.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 07:25
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.25%E -0.924%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.35%E -6.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 06:31
Betr (AU)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -5.29%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.77%E -4.85%K -30.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 06:30
GTbets🎯4.53I 22.08%NM 19.96%EV -5.71%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.04%EV -10.52%E -9.31%K -80.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 07:25
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.39%E -2.78%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 06:44
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 07:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.77%E -4.85%K -30.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 06:31
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.56%E -5.56%K -36.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 06:25
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.35%E -6.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 07:25
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.35%E -6.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 06:25
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.35%E -6.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 06:25
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -8.15%E -7.02%K -50.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 07:46
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 07:46
LeoVegas🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.56%E -5.56%K -36.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 07:25
Betclic (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.35%E -6.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 07:59
DraftKings🎯4.32I 23.15%NM 22.02%EV -10.08%E -2.33%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -3.39%E -2.78%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 06:45
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -10.49%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -7.35%E -6.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 07:25
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.58%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.39%E -2.78%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:11
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.58%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.39%E -2.78%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.58%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.39%E -2.78%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:11
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.58%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.39%E -2.78%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:10
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.58%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.56%E -5.56%K -36.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 07:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.58%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.56%E -5.56%K -36.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 07:45
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.58%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -8.15%E -7.02%K -50.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-15 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -14.66%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.39%E -2.78%K -15.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 07:45
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -14.66%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.39%E -2.78%K -15.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 07:46
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 07:31
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.98%E -4.15%K -24.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 07:30
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -8.94%E -7.77%K -59.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 07:25
Unibet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -8.94%E -7.77%K -59.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 07:25
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -19.86%E -5.16%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -1.02%E -0.815%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 06:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig4.08I 24.51%NM 22.14%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.86%10.7%2026-09-15 07:45
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%12.7%2026-09-15 07:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.42%1.19I 84.03%NM 72.58%15.8%2026-09-15 07:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.42%1.19I 84.03%NM 72.58%15.8%2026-09-15 07:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.42%1.19I 84.03%NM 72.58%15.8%2026-09-15 07:41