Language:English
Sloane Stephens v Janice Tjen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sloane Stephens (Local)
Prediction 37.92%2.64fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.399%
Kelly -0.647%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%37.96%37.97%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.492.502.6144.44%40.22%40.00%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Janice Tjen (Visit)
Prediction 62.08%1.61fair odd
EV +0.577%
Edge +0.356%
Kelly +0.931%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%62.04%62.03%62.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.531.6268.97%65.57%65.36%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sloane Stephens (Local): 37.92%; Janice Tjen (Visit): 62.08%. For Janice Tjen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.577%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -14.69%E -6.53%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +0.577%E +0.356%K +0.931%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-09-15 21:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -6.73%E -2.74%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -0.044%E -0.027%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-15 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.29%E -0.808%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-15 21:06 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -14.69%E -6.53%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-15 21:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -14.69%E -6.53%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-15 21:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.04%E -0.399%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-16 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.56%E -0.995%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-16 00:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.56%E -0.995%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-16 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.90%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 21:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.90%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 23:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.90%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 23:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-15 21:56 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 00:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.70%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 00:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-16 00:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-16 00:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 00:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 00:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 23:41 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 23:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 00:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 23:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-15 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-15 23:41 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-15 23:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.18%E -0.844%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 00:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 00:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 00:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 23:41 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 21:56 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.35%E -2.57%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-16 00:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.35%E -2.57%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-16 00:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 14:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 14:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 14:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 14:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 23:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 23:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.74%E -5.94%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-15 22:46 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.74%E -5.94%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 22:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.74%E -5.94%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 14:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.47%EV -8.24%E -3.41%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.53%EV -9.98%E -6.88%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-16 00:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-09-16 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-09-16 01:01 |
| Novig◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-09-16 01:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 01:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20% | 1.5% | 2026-09-16 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84% | 2.4% | 2026-09-16 00:56 |