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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Sloane Stephens v Janice Tjen

开赛时间： 2026-09-16 01:11 UTC

最终结果： Sloane Stephens 2–0 Janice Tjen

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

59 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sloane Stephens (主队)

预测 37.92%2.64公平赔率
EV -1.04%
优势 -0.399%
Kelly -0.647%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.61

博彩公司预测分布
37.03%37.96%37.97%41.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.492.502.6144.44%40.22%40.00%38.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

Janice Tjen (客队)

预测 62.08%1.61公平赔率
EV +0.577%
优势 +0.356%
Kelly +0.931%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布
58.14%62.04%62.03%62.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.531.531.6268.97%65.57%65.36%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sloane Stephens (主队)：37.92%；Janice Tjen (客队)：62.08%。 对于“Janice Tjen (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.61。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.62，对应+0.577%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -14.69%E -6.53%K -11.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +0.577%E +0.356%K +0.931%G +0.005%6.2%2026-09-15 21:05
GTbets🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -6.73%E -2.74%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -0.044%E -0.027%K -0.072%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-15 14:25
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.29%E -0.808%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 21:06
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -14.69%E -6.53%K -11.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 21:05
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -14.69%E -6.53%K -11.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 21:05
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.04%E -0.399%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-16 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.56%E -0.995%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-16 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.56%E -0.995%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-16 00:40
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-16 00:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 01:00
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.90%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 21:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.90%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 23:50
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.90%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 23:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 21:56
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-16 00:34
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.70%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 00:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-16 00:35
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-16 00:59
Coolbet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 00:35
ReBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-16 00:35
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:41
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:35
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 00:20
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:50
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:40
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 19:20
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:50
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 23:41
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 23:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.18%E -0.844%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 00:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 00:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 00:35
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 23:41
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 21:56
Betsson🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.35%E -2.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 00:35
NordicBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.35%E -2.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 00:35
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 23:50
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 23:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.74%E -5.94%K -18.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 22:46
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.74%E -5.94%K -18.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 22:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.74%E -5.94%K -18.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.47%EV -8.24%E -3.41%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.53%EV -9.98%E -6.88%K -22.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-16 00:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-09-16 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-09-16 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-09-16 01:01
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-09-16 01:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-09-16 01:00
ProphetX◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%1.5%2026-09-16 01:00
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.4%2026-09-16 00:56