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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Sloane Stephens v Janice Tjen

Inicio: 2026-09-16 01:11 UTC

Final: Sloane Stephens 2–0 Janice Tjen

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sloane Stephens (Local)

Predicción 37.92%2.64momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.399%
Kelly -0.647%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.03%37.96%37.97%41.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.492.502.6144.44%40.22%40.00%38.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Janice Tjen (Visitante)

Predicción 62.08%1.61momio equitativo
EV +0.577%
Ventaja +0.356%
Kelly +0.931%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%62.04%62.03%62.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.531.531.6268.97%65.57%65.36%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sloane Stephens (Local): 37.92%; Janice Tjen (Visitante): 62.08%. Para Janice Tjen (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.61. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.62, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.577%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -14.69%E -6.53%K -11.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +0.577%E +0.356%K +0.931%G +0.005%6.2%2026-09-15 21:05
GTbets🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -6.73%E -2.74%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -0.044%E -0.027%K -0.072%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-15 14:25
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.29%E -0.808%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 21:06
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -14.69%E -6.53%K -11.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 21:05
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -14.69%E -6.53%K -11.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.53%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 21:05
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.04%E -0.399%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-16 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.56%E -0.995%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-16 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.56%E -0.995%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-16 00:40
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-16 00:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 01:00
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.90%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 21:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.90%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 23:50
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.90%E -4.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.77%E -2.43%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 23:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 21:56
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-16 00:34
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.70%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 00:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-16 00:35
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-16 00:59
Coolbet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.45%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 00:35
ReBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-16 00:35
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:41
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:35
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 00:20
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:50
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:40
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 19:20
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:50
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 23:41
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 23:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.18%E -0.844%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 00:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 00:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 00:35
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 23:41
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 21:56
Betsson🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.35%E -2.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 00:35
NordicBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.35%E -2.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 00:35
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.32%E -1.30%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 23:50
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 23:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.74%E -5.94%K -18.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 22:46
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.74%E -5.94%K -18.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 22:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.74%E -5.94%K -18.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.47%EV -8.24%E -3.41%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.53%EV -9.98%E -6.88%K -22.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-16 00:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-09-16 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-09-16 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-09-16 01:01
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-09-16 01:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-09-16 01:00
ProphetX◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%1.5%2026-09-16 01:00
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.4%2026-09-16 00:56