Language:English
Peyton Stearns v Emiliana Arango
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Peyton Stearns (Local)
Prediction 65.36%1.53fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -3.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%65.34%65.48%68.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.421.5073.53%69.89%70.42%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Emiliana Arango (Visit)
Prediction 34.64%2.89fair odd
EV +1.84%
Edge +0.625%
Kelly +0.947%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 2.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.63%34.66%34.52%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.752.752.9440.00%36.41%36.36%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peyton Stearns (Local): 65.36%; Emiliana Arango (Visit): 34.64%. For Emiliana Arango (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.94, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.37%EV -11.11%E -8.17%K -30.86%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.63%EV +1.84%E +0.625%K +0.947%G +0.017% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.452%E +0.156%K +0.238%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:21 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:21 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:21 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:36 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:41 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 14:06 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -1.63%E -0.572%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -1.63%E -0.572%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 19:06 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -2.32%E -0.822%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -2.32%E -0.822%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 16:21 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 14:21 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.96%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -3.36%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 18:46 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -4.40%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-13 19:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-13 18:13 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-13 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 18:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 17:51 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 17:51 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 13:36 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 13:36 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -9.80%E -7.10%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 13:21 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 14:06 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 19:06 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 19:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -9.15%E -6.58%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 19:06 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -10.46%E -7.63%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 19:06 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 19:06 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 14:26 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 14:26 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 18:11 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-13 18:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -11.67%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 18:31 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -11.67%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.72%EV -9.15%E -6.58%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.28%EV -11.67%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.40%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 19:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.40%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-09-13 19:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 19:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57% | 2.6% | 2026-09-13 19:06 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95% | 3.0% | 2026-09-13 19:05 |