Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Peyton Stearns v Emiliana Arango

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 19:07 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Peyton Stearns (Local)

Prévision 65.36%1.53cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -3.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%65.34%65.48%68.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.431.421.5073.53%69.89%70.42%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Emiliana Arango (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.64%2.89cote équitable
EV +1.84%
Avantage +0.625%
Kelly +0.947%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 2.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.63%34.66%34.52%37.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.752.752.9440.00%36.41%36.36%34.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Peyton Stearns (Local) : 65.36% ; Emiliana Arango (Visiteur) : 34.64%. Pour Emiliana Arango (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.89. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.94, soit une espérance positive de +1.84%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.37%EV -11.11%E -8.17%K -30.86%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.63%EV +1.84%E +0.625%K +0.947%G +0.017%7.5%2026-09-13 13:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.452%E +0.156%K +0.238%G +0.001%4.9%2026-09-13 13:55
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:15
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:20
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:21
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:21
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:21
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:25
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:36
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:41
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 14:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 19:05
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -1.63%E -0.572%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:45
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -1.63%E -0.572%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 19:06
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -2.32%E -0.822%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -2.32%E -0.822%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 16:21
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:21
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.96%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -3.36%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 18:46
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -4.40%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-13 19:01
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 18:13
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 18:15
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 18:10
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 19:05
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:51
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 17:51
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 13:36
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 13:30
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 13:36
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -9.80%E -7.10%K -25.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 13:21
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 14:06
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 19:06
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 13:40
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 19:05
Fliff🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -9.15%E -6.58%K -23.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 19:06
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -10.46%E -7.63%K -28.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 18:49
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 13:25
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 13:25
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 19:06
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 19:06
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 14:26
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 14:26
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:10
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 18:11
NetBet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 18:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -11.67%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 18:31
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -11.67%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.72%EV -9.15%E -6.58%K -23.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.28%EV -11.67%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 18:50
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.40%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 19:01
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.40%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 16:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-09-13 19:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-09-13 19:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-09-13 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-09-13 19:05
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%2.6%2026-09-13 19:06
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%3.0%2026-09-13 19:05