Idioma:Español
Peyton Stearns v Emiliana Arango
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Peyton Stearns (Local)
Predicción 65.36%1.53momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -3.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%65.34%65.48%68.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.431.421.5073.53%69.89%70.42%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Emiliana Arango (Visitante)
Predicción 34.64%2.89momio equitativo
EV +1.84%
Ventaja +0.625%
Kelly +0.947%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.63%34.66%34.52%37.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.752.752.9440.00%36.41%36.36%34.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Peyton Stearns (Local): 65.36%; Emiliana Arango (Visitante): 34.64%. Para Emiliana Arango (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.89. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.94, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.84%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.37%EV -11.11%E -8.17%K -30.86%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.63%EV +1.84%E +0.625%K +0.947%G +0.017% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.452%E +0.156%K +0.238%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:21 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:21 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:21 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:36 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:41 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 14:06 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.240%E -0.083%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -1.63%E -0.572%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -1.63%E -0.572%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 19:06 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -2.32%E -0.822%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -2.32%E -0.822%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 16:21 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 14:21 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.96%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -3.36%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 18:46 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -4.40%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-13 19:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-13 18:13 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-13 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 18:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 17:51 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 17:51 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 13:36 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 13:36 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -9.80%E -7.10%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 13:21 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 14:06 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 19:06 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 19:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -9.15%E -6.58%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 19:06 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -10.46%E -7.63%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 19:06 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 19:06 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 14:26 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 14:26 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 18:11 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-13 18:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -11.67%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 18:31 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -11.67%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.72%EV -9.15%E -6.58%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.28%EV -11.67%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.40%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 19:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -13.40%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-09-13 19:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 19:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57% | 2.6% | 2026-09-13 19:06 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95% | 3.0% | 2026-09-13 19:05 |