Language:English
Paula Badosa v Coco Gauff
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Paula Badosa (Local)
Prediction 27.71%3.61fair odd
EV -0.239%
Edge -0.066%
Kelly -0.092%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.28%27.68%27.80%29.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.55%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Coco Gauff (Visit)
Prediction 72.29%1.38fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -6.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.80%72.32%72.20%73.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.311.321.3578.74%76.23%75.76%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Paula Badosa (Local): 27.71%; Coco Gauff (Visit): 72.29%. For Paula Badosa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -0.239%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.239%E -0.066%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -0.516%E -0.144%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -7.47%E -5.84%K -26.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 05:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.378%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.378%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-17 13:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV -1.62%E -0.458%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%EV -2.41%E -1.79%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-17 10:21 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.62%E -0.458%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-17 10:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.01%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 05:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.01%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 10:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.01%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 13:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-17 05:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-17 10:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-17 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 09:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.47%E -5.84%K -26.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 09:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.23%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 05:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-17 09:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 08:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 08:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 08:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 08:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 08:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 08:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 08:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 08:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 08:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 08:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 08:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 08:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 08:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-17 10:21 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-17 10:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-17 10:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-17 05:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-17 08:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-17 09:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-17 09:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.19%E -6.45%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-17 10:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -6.89%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 10:31 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 13:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 09:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 05:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-17 10:31 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-17 12:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.13%E -2.34%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-17 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 05:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 05:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-17 05:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-17 05:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-17 08:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-17 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.47%E -5.84%K -26.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-17 05:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.47%E -5.84%K -26.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-17 05:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 05:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 09:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 12:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-17 09:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-17 08:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 05:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-17 08:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-17 10:21 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-06-17 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-06-17 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-06-17 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-06-17 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-06-17 13:20 |
| Novig◎ | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.24% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.76% | 2.6% | 2026-06-17 10:20 |