La escuela de los momios

Paula Badosa v Coco Gauff

Inicio: 2026-06-17 13:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Paula Badosa (Local)

Predicción 27.71%3.61momio equitativo
EV -0.239%
Ventaja -0.066%
Kelly -0.092%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.28%27.68%27.80%29.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.55%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Coco Gauff (Visitante)

Predicción 72.29%1.38momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -6.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.80%72.32%72.20%73.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.311.321.3578.74%76.23%75.76%74.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.239%E -0.066%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:20
GTbets3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -0.516%E -0.144%K -0.199%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -7.47%E -5.84%K -26.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 05:20
LowVig.ag3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.378%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 13:10
BetOnline.ag3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.378%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 13:10
Pinnacle3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV -1.62%E -0.458%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%EV -2.41%E -1.79%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 10:21
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.62%E -0.458%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-17 10:20
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.01%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 05:20
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.01%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 10:20
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.01%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 13:20
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 05:20
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 10:20
ReBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 12:40
PointsBet (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 09:40
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.47%E -5.84%K -26.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 09:20
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.23%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 05:19
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 12:10
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 09:20
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 12:10
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 12:00
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:29
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:29
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 10:21
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 10:20
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 10:19
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 05:20
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 08:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 09:20
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 09:40
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.19%E -6.45%K -30.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-17 10:20
Marathon Bet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -6.89%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 10:31
1xBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:30
Fanatics3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 13:20
theScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 09:20
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 05:30
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 10:31
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 12:00
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.13%E -2.34%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 09:20
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 05:10
Dabble (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 05:20
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 05:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 05:20
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 08:30
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.47%E -5.84%K -26.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 05:20
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.47%E -5.84%K -26.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 05:20
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 05:20
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 09:20
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 12:10
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 09:20
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 08:30
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 05:20
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-17 08:59
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-17 10:21
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-06-17 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-06-17 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-06-17 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-06-17 13:20
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-06-17 13:20
Novig3.58I 27.93%NM 27.24%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.76%2.6%2026-06-17 10:20