L’École des cotes

Paula Badosa v Coco Gauff

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-17 13:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Paula Badosa (Local)

Prévision 27.71%3.61cote équitable
EV -0.239%
Avantage -0.066%
Kelly -0.092%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.28%27.68%27.80%29.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.55%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Coco Gauff (Visiteur)

Prévision 72.29%1.38cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -6.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.80%72.32%72.20%73.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.311.321.3578.74%76.23%75.76%74.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.239%E -0.066%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:20
GTbets3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -0.516%E -0.144%K -0.199%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -7.47%E -5.84%K -26.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 05:20
LowVig.ag3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.378%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 13:10
BetOnline.ag3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.378%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 13:10
Pinnacle3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV -1.62%E -0.458%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%EV -2.41%E -1.79%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 10:21
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.62%E -0.458%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-17 10:20
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.01%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 05:20
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.01%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 10:20
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.01%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 13:20
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 05:20
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 10:20
ReBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 12:40
PointsBet (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 09:40
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.47%E -5.84%K -26.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 09:20
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.23%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 05:19
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 12:10
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 09:20
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 12:10
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 12:00
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:29
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:30
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 08:29
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 10:21
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 10:20
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 10:19
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 05:20
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 08:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 09:20
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 09:40
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.19%E -6.45%K -30.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-17 10:20
Marathon Bet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -6.89%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 10:31
1xBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 10:30
Fanatics3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 13:20
theScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 09:20
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.30%E -4.05%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 05:30
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 10:31
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 12:00
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.13%E -2.34%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 09:20
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 05:10
Dabble (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 05:20
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 05:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 05:20
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 08:30
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.47%E -5.84%K -26.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 05:20
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.47%E -5.84%K -26.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 05:20
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 05:20
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 09:20
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.86%E -2.90%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 12:10
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 09:20
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.75%E -5.23%K -23.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 08:30
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.58%E -3.47%K -14.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 05:20
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-17 08:59
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-17 10:21
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-06-17 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-06-17 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-06-17 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-06-17 13:20
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-06-17 13:20
Novig3.58I 27.93%NM 27.24%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.76%2.6%2026-06-17 10:20